The closely matched probabilities for 29°C and 30°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on September 2 stem from short-term forecast model divergence under transitional early-autumn conditions. Official guidance shows lingering peripheral influences from western Pacific typhoon systems promoting increased cloud cover and scattered rainfall that limit daytime solar heating, while variable humidity and light northerly winds modulate boundary-layer mixing. Historical baselines place early-September maxima near 29–30°C, with ensemble spreads often differing by 1–2°C due to uncertainties in timing of any clearing or precipitation. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 2 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Ухане 2 сентября?
29°C 25%
30°C 24%
28°C 18%
31°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
18%
29°C
25%
30°C
24%
31°C
9%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 25%
30°C 24%
28°C 18%
31°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$0 Объем
1%
24°C
$0 Объем
1%
25°C
$0 Объем
3%
26°C
$7 Объем
4%
27°C
$20 Объем
8%
28°C
$0 Объем
18%
29°C
$0 Объем
25%
30°C
$0 Объем
24%
31°C
$19 Объем
9%
32°C
$5 Объем
<1%
33°C or higher
$5 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities for 29°C and 30°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on September 2 stem from short-term forecast model divergence under transitional early-autumn conditions. Official guidance shows lingering peripheral influences from western Pacific typhoon systems promoting increased cloud cover and scattered rainfall that limit daytime solar heating, while variable humidity and light northerly winds modulate boundary-layer mixing. Historical baselines place early-September maxima near 29–30°C, with ensemble spreads often differing by 1–2°C due to uncertainties in timing of any clearing or precipitation. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$56Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities for 29°C and 30°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on September 2 stem from short-term forecast model divergence under transitional early-autumn conditions. Official guidance shows lingering peripheral influences from western Pacific typhoon systems promoting increased cloud cover and scattered rainfall that limit daytime solar heating, while variable humidity and light northerly winds modulate boundary-layer mixing. Historical baselines place early-September maxima near 29–30°C, with ensemble spreads often differing by 1–2°C due to uncertainties in timing of any clearing or precipitation. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$56Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities for 29°C and 30°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on September 2 stem from short-term forecast model divergence under transitional early-autumn conditions. Official guidance shows lingering peripheral influences from western Pacific typhoon systems promoting increased cloud cover and scattered rainfall that limit daytime solar heating, while variable humidity and light northerly winds modulate boundary-layer mixing. Historical baselines place early-September maxima near 29–30°C, with ensemble spreads often differing by 1–2°C due to uncertainties in timing of any clearing or precipitation. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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