Trader consensus centers on 90–91°F as the most probable high for Miami on September 2, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance for typical early-September conditions: strong diurnal heating under partly to mostly sunny skies, with east-southeast flow and boundary-layer moisture supporting afternoon temperatures in the lower 90s. Scattered to likely thunderstorms, driven by sea-breeze convergence and high instability, are expected to develop after peak heating, trimming the upside while keeping the daily maximum near or slightly above the 87–90°F climatological range. Current ensemble runs show limited spread around this outcome, with no tropical systems or strong frontal intrusions altering steering patterns in the next 48 hours, which sustains the 80% combined probability on 90–93°F bins. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Майами 2 сентября?
90-91°F 51%
92-93°F 30%
88-89°F 13%
94-95°F 6%
81°F или ниже
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
51%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
6%
96–97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F или выше
<1%
90-91°F 51%
92-93°F 30%
88-89°F 13%
94-95°F 6%
81°F или ниже
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
13%
90-91°F
51%
92-93°F
30%
94-95°F
6%
96–97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 90–91°F as the most probable high for Miami on September 2, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance for typical early-September conditions: strong diurnal heating under partly to mostly sunny skies, with east-southeast flow and boundary-layer moisture supporting afternoon temperatures in the lower 90s. Scattered to likely thunderstorms, driven by sea-breeze convergence and high instability, are expected to develop after peak heating, trimming the upside while keeping the daily maximum near or slightly above the 87–90°F climatological range. Current ensemble runs show limited spread around this outcome, with no tropical systems or strong frontal intrusions altering steering patterns in the next 48 hours, which sustains the 80% combined probability on 90–93°F bins. Updated short-range guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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