Recent forecast models from regional meteorological sources project an overnight low near 22–23°C for Wuhan on September 2, driven by moderating northeasterly winds, increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, and residual moisture from earlier monsoon influences. This aligns with climatological norms of 20–23°C lows for early September, when seasonal cooling accelerates after peak summer heat. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 21–27°C outcomes reflects model spread and uncertainty in exact minimum timing amid variable humidity (55–70%) and light winds, with lower probabilities for sub-20°C scenarios due to limited cold air advection. Updated guidance on cloud trends and wind shifts will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Ухане 2 сентября?
21°C 100%
22°C 100%
23°C 100%
24°C 100%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
8%
19°C
39%
20°C
92%
21°C
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
100%
26°C
100%
27°C or higher
50%
21°C 100%
22°C 100%
23°C 100%
24°C 100%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
8%
19°C
39%
20°C
92%
21°C
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
100%
24°C
100%
25°C
100%
26°C
100%
27°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from regional meteorological sources project an overnight low near 22–23°C for Wuhan on September 2, driven by moderating northeasterly winds, increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, and residual moisture from earlier monsoon influences. This aligns with climatological norms of 20–23°C lows for early September, when seasonal cooling accelerates after peak summer heat. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 21–27°C outcomes reflects model spread and uncertainty in exact minimum timing amid variable humidity (55–70%) and light winds, with lower probabilities for sub-20°C scenarios due to limited cold air advection. Updated guidance on cloud trends and wind shifts will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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