Trader consensus on the Chicago September 2 high temperature market reflects the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance showing a warm, high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow favoring afternoon highs centered in the low-to-mid 90s. Ensemble spreads create the close probabilities between 90–95°F bins, as small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 2–3°F. Historical climatology for early September places the expected maximum near 82°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth currently priced in; the next model cycles and morning observations will likely tighten ranges ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 2 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 2 сентября?
102°F или выше 99.8%
86-87°F 89%
92-93°F 50%
94-95°F 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
83°F или ниже
<1%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
89%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
-
92-93°F
50%
94-95°F
50%
96-97°F
33%
98-99°F
19%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F или выше
100%
102°F или выше 99.8%
86-87°F 89%
92-93°F 50%
94-95°F 50%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
83°F или ниже
$172 Объем
<1%
84-85°F
$224 Объем
10%
86-87°F
$171 Объем
89%
88-89°F
$301 Объем
4%
90-91°F
$8 Объем
-
92-93°F
$5 Объем
50%
94-95°F
$5 Объем
50%
96-97°F
$48 Объем
33%
98-99°F
$160 Объем
19%
100-101°F
$40 Объем
<1%
102°F или выше
$146 Объем
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chicago September 2 high temperature market reflects the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance showing a warm, high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow favoring afternoon highs centered in the low-to-mid 90s. Ensemble spreads create the close probabilities between 90–95°F bins, as small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 2–3°F. Historical climatology for early September places the expected maximum near 82°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth currently priced in; the next model cycles and morning observations will likely tighten ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Объем
$1,280Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Chicago September 2 high temperature market reflects the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance showing a warm, high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow favoring afternoon highs centered in the low-to-mid 90s. Ensemble spreads create the close probabilities between 90–95°F bins, as small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 2–3°F. Historical climatology for early September places the expected maximum near 82°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth currently priced in; the next model cycles and morning observations will likely tighten ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,280Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Chicago September 2 high temperature market reflects the latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance showing a warm, high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow favoring afternoon highs centered in the low-to-mid 90s. Ensemble spreads create the close probabilities between 90–95°F bins, as small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 2–3°F. Historical climatology for early September places the expected maximum near 82°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth currently priced in; the next model cycles and morning observations will likely tighten ranges ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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