Strong northerly to northwesterly winds, expected to reach 25–40 km/h overnight into September 2, combined with partial cloud cover, are the dominant factors limiting radiative cooling and keeping the lowest temperature in Wellington near 11–13°C. Forecast guidance from multiple models shows overnight minima clustered in this narrow band, consistent with early-spring climatology where Wellington’s exposed coastal location experiences frequent mixing that prevents sharper drops. Minor disagreements center on exact cloud timing and wind gust strength, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way. With resolution imminent, trader odds remain tightly bunched around 11°C and 12°C as the most probable outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 2 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Веллингтоне 2 сентября?
15°C 46.6%
17°C or higher 42.0%
16°C 41.6%
13°C 1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
7°C or below
-
8°C
-
9°C
-
10°C
-
11°C
-
12°C
-
13°C
1%
14°C
-
15°C
47%
16°C
42%
17°C or higher
42%
15°C 46.6%
17°C or higher 42.0%
16°C 41.6%
13°C 1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 сент. 2026 г.
7°C or below
$31 Объем
-
8°C
$11 Объем
-
9°C
$10 Объем
-
10°C
$10 Объем
-
11°C
$10 Объем
-
12°C
$0 Объем
-
13°C
$169 Объем
1%
14°C
$5 Объем
-
15°C
$10 Объем
47%
16°C
$10 Объем
42%
17°C or higher
$18 Объем
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northerly to northwesterly winds, expected to reach 25–40 km/h overnight into September 2, combined with partial cloud cover, are the dominant factors limiting radiative cooling and keeping the lowest temperature in Wellington near 11–13°C. Forecast guidance from multiple models shows overnight minima clustered in this narrow band, consistent with early-spring climatology where Wellington’s exposed coastal location experiences frequent mixing that prevents sharper drops. Minor disagreements center on exact cloud timing and wind gust strength, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way. With resolution imminent, trader odds remain tightly bunched around 11°C and 12°C as the most probable outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$285Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong northerly to northwesterly winds, expected to reach 25–40 km/h overnight into September 2, combined with partial cloud cover, are the dominant factors limiting radiative cooling and keeping the lowest temperature in Wellington near 11–13°C. Forecast guidance from multiple models shows overnight minima clustered in this narrow band, consistent with early-spring climatology where Wellington’s exposed coastal location experiences frequent mixing that prevents sharper drops. Minor disagreements center on exact cloud timing and wind gust strength, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way. With resolution imminent, trader odds remain tightly bunched around 11°C and 12°C as the most probable outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$285Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Strong northerly to northwesterly winds, expected to reach 25–40 km/h overnight into September 2, combined with partial cloud cover, are the dominant factors limiting radiative cooling and keeping the lowest temperature in Wellington near 11–13°C. Forecast guidance from multiple models shows overnight minima clustered in this narrow band, consistent with early-spring climatology where Wellington’s exposed coastal location experiences frequent mixing that prevents sharper drops. Minor disagreements center on exact cloud timing and wind gust strength, which could shift the minimum by 1–2°C either way. With resolution imminent, trader odds remain tightly bunched around 11°C and 12°C as the most probable outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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