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icon for Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 4 сентября?

Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 4 сентября?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 4 сентября?

Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 4 сентября?

сент. 2

сент. 3

сент. 4

сент. 2

сент. 3

сент. 4

25°C 49%

26°C 33%

24°C 21%

23°C 4%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

25°C 49%

26°C 33%

24°C 21%

23°C 4%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

20°C или ниже

$1,246 Объем

1%

21°C

$73 Объем

1%

22°C

$73 Объем

3%

23°C

$378 Объем

4%

24°C

$309 Объем

21%

25°C

$2,490 Объем

49%

26°C

$653 Объем

26%

27°C

$73 Объем

4%

28°C

$165 Объем

<1%

29°C

$555 Объем

1%

30°C или выше

$0 Объем

3%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 4 project a daily temperature range of 25–29°C under mainly cloudy skies with a few squally showers, driven by northwesterly winds and residual moisture from nearby tropical systems. This range, combined with model consensus showing overnight minima near 25°C amid high humidity and light winds, positions 25°C as the leading market outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Recent observations indicate stable conditions without significant cold-air intrusions, though forecast uncertainty from shower timing and local urban effects could shift the exact low toward 24–26°C. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing remain key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$6,014
Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 4 project a daily temperature range of 25–29°C under mainly cloudy skies with a few squally showers, driven by northwesterly winds and residual moisture from nearby tropical systems. This range, combined with model consensus showing overnight minima near 25°C amid high humidity and light winds, positions 25°C as the leading market outcome at 47.5% implied probability. Recent observations indicate stable conditions without significant cold-air intrusions, though forecast uncertainty from shower timing and local urban effects could shift the exact low toward 24–26°C. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing remain key near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$6,014
Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Связанные

icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 3?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 3?

97%
icon for Будет ли максимальная температура в Гонконге 4 сентября 29°C?

Будет ли максимальная температура в Гонконге 4 сентября 29°C?

33%
Да
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 2?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 2?

100%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 4 сентября?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «25°C» с 49%, за ним следует «26°C» с 26%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 49¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 4 сентября?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 2, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 4 сентября?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 4 сентября?» — «25°C» с 49%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 49%. Следующий ближайший исход — «26°C» с 26%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 4 сентября?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.