**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C low for Hong Kong on September 3, 2026, at 99.1% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional station data indicate overnight and early-morning minima clustered around 25–26°C, with HK Observatory readings near 25.9°C shortly after 06:00 and other sites recording 24.7–26.2°C since midnight under northwest winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and moderate humidity (55–85%) have limited radiative cooling, consistent with climatological September norms and the influence of distant tropical systems like Saola without a stronger cold surge. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and local guidance projects no significant deviation below this threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted intensification of onshore flow or heavier nocturnal precipitation that enhances evaporative cooling, though current atmospheric conditions and steering patterns make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 3 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 3 сентября?
25°C 99.0%
24°C 2%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,160 Объем
$19,160 Объем
3 сент. 2026 г.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.0%
24°C 2%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,160 Объем
$19,160 Объем
3 сент. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$469 Объем
<1%
21°C
$463 Объем
1%
22°C
$787 Объем
<1%
23°C
$1,161 Объем
<1%
24°C
$1,896 Объем
2%
25°C
$3,226 Объем
99%
26°C
$5,944 Объем
<1%
27°C
$2,301 Объем
<1%
28°C
$1,396 Объем
<1%
29°C
$1,047 Объем
<1%
30°C or higher
$470 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C low for Hong Kong on September 3, 2026, at 99.1% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional station data indicate overnight and early-morning minima clustered around 25–26°C, with HK Observatory readings near 25.9°C shortly after 06:00 and other sites recording 24.7–26.2°C since midnight under northwest winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and moderate humidity (55–85%) have limited radiative cooling, consistent with climatological September norms and the influence of distant tropical systems like Saola without a stronger cold surge. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and local guidance projects no significant deviation below this threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted intensification of onshore flow or heavier nocturnal precipitation that enhances evaporative cooling, though current atmospheric conditions and steering patterns make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$19,160Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C low for Hong Kong on September 3, 2026, at 99.1% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional station data indicate overnight and early-morning minima clustered around 25–26°C, with HK Observatory readings near 25.9°C shortly after 06:00 and other sites recording 24.7–26.2°C since midnight under northwest winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and moderate humidity (55–85%) have limited radiative cooling, consistent with climatological September norms and the influence of distant tropical systems like Saola without a stronger cold surge. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and local guidance projects no significant deviation below this threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted intensification of onshore flow or heavier nocturnal precipitation that enhances evaporative cooling, though current atmospheric conditions and steering patterns make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$19,160Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C low for Hong Kong on September 3, 2026, at 99.1% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and regional station data indicate overnight and early-morning minima clustered around 25–26°C, with HK Observatory readings near 25.9°C shortly after 06:00 and other sites recording 24.7–26.2°C since midnight under northwest winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Partly cloudy skies with isolated showers and moderate humidity (55–85%) have limited radiative cooling, consistent with climatological September norms and the influence of distant tropical systems like Saola without a stronger cold surge. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and local guidance projects no significant deviation below this threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted intensification of onshore flow or heavier nocturnal precipitation that enhances evaporative cooling, though current atmospheric conditions and steering patterns make such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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