Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily high near 30°C for Incheon on September 3, supporting the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome. Northerly winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit afternoon heating while preventing significant cooling, with consensus highs ranging 29–31°C across sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles. This positioning aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where post-monsoon moderation typically yields averages around 28–30°C. Model spread introduces modest uncertainty for 29°C or 31°C bins, though no major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the current trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 3 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 3 сентября?
30°C 50%
31°C 25%
29°C 16%
32°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
50%
31°C
25%
32°C
9%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 50%
31°C 25%
29°C 16%
32°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$230 Объем
<1%
25°C
$522 Объем
<1%
26°C
$302 Объем
1%
27°C
$251 Объем
1%
28°C
$278 Объем
4%
29°C
$415 Объем
16%
30°C
$1,094 Объем
50%
31°C
$853 Объем
25%
32°C
$596 Объем
9%
33°C
$310 Объем
1%
34°C or higher
$394 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily high near 30°C for Incheon on September 3, supporting the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome. Northerly winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit afternoon heating while preventing significant cooling, with consensus highs ranging 29–31°C across sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles. This positioning aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where post-monsoon moderation typically yields averages around 28–30°C. Model spread introduces modest uncertainty for 29°C or 31°C bins, though no major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$5,247Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily high near 30°C for Incheon on September 3, supporting the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome. Northerly winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit afternoon heating while preventing significant cooling, with consensus highs ranging 29–31°C across sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles. This positioning aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where post-monsoon moderation typically yields averages around 28–30°C. Model spread introduces modest uncertainty for 29°C or 31°C bins, though no major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,247Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily high near 30°C for Incheon on September 3, supporting the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome. Northerly winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit afternoon heating while preventing significant cooling, with consensus highs ranging 29–31°C across sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles. This positioning aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where post-monsoon moderation typically yields averages around 28–30°C. Model spread introduces modest uncertainty for 29°C or 31°C bins, though no major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the current trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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