An incoming Pacific storm system is driving trader consensus toward a 64–65°F high in Seattle on September 3, with 38.5% implied probability for that bin and 28% for 66–67°F. Onshore flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of rain are expected to limit daytime heating well below the 73°F seasonal average, consistent with National Weather Service and NOAA guidance showing highs in the mid-60s amid a low-pressure trough. Model runs highlight modest uncertainty in exact peak temperatures depending on rain timing and wind shifts, keeping nearby bins active while rendering extremes above 70°F or below 60°F highly improbable given current atmospheric conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сиэтле 3 сентября?
64-65°F 26%
66-67°F 25%
62-63°F 14%
68-69°F 12%
55°F или ниже
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
1%
74°F или выше
2%
64-65°F 26%
66-67°F 25%
62-63°F 14%
68-69°F 12%
55°F или ниже
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
6%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
25%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
1%
74°F или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...An incoming Pacific storm system is driving trader consensus toward a 64–65°F high in Seattle on September 3, with 38.5% implied probability for that bin and 28% for 66–67°F. Onshore flow, widespread cloud cover, and periods of rain are expected to limit daytime heating well below the 73°F seasonal average, consistent with National Weather Service and NOAA guidance showing highs in the mid-60s amid a low-pressure trough. Model runs highlight modest uncertainty in exact peak temperatures depending on rain timing and wind shifts, keeping nearby bins active while rendering extremes above 70°F or below 60°F highly improbable given current atmospheric conditions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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