Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows near 23–25°C for Chongqing on September 4 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, supporting market-implied odds clustered around those thresholds. Stable high-pressure dominance has maintained above-average warmth typical of early-September climatology (historical lows ~22°C), limiting radiative cooling overnight despite moderate humidity. Minor model spreads arise from subtle variations in expected cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, while the negligible probability assigned to 29°C or higher reflects the absence of any warm advection or heat-wave reinforcement. Official station observations will resolve the market once the daily minimum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Чунцине 4 сентября?
26°C 95%
27°C 95%
25°C 94%
28°C 93%
19°C или ниже
92%
20°C
88%
21°C
88%
22°C
89%
23°C
49%
24°C
51%
25°C
94%
26°C
95%
27°C
95%
28°C
93%
29°C или выше
2%
26°C 95%
27°C 95%
25°C 94%
28°C 93%
19°C или ниже
92%
20°C
88%
21°C
88%
22°C
89%
23°C
49%
24°C
51%
25°C
94%
26°C
95%
27°C
95%
28°C
93%
29°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate overnight lows near 23–25°C for Chongqing on September 4 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, supporting market-implied odds clustered around those thresholds. Stable high-pressure dominance has maintained above-average warmth typical of early-September climatology (historical lows ~22°C), limiting radiative cooling overnight despite moderate humidity. Minor model spreads arise from subtle variations in expected cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, while the negligible probability assigned to 29°C or higher reflects the absence of any warm advection or heat-wave reinforcement. Official station observations will resolve the market once the daily minimum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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