Recent short-range forecasts for São Paulo indicate a warming trend into September 4 driven by northwesterly flow, with model consensus pointing to afternoon highs near 27–29 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and only scattered shower chances. Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as the Met Office, Yr, and regional models cluster in this range after cooler conditions on September 2–3, while slight differences in cloud timing or convective development create modest spread toward 30 °C or lower values. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 28–29 °C because these outcomes align with the central tendency of current numerical weather predictions and historical September variability at the site, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded by local meteorological services.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 4 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 4 сентября?
29°C 42%
28°C 30%
30°C 18%
27°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
7%
28°C
30%
29°C
42%
30°C
18%
31°C
5%
32°C
6%
33°C или выше
6%
29°C 42%
28°C 30%
30°C 18%
27°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$0 Объем
4%
24°C
$0 Объем
4%
25°C
$35 Объем
3%
26°C
$43 Объем
5%
27°C
$86 Объем
7%
28°C
$93 Объем
30%
29°C
$158 Объем
42%
30°C
$256 Объем
18%
31°C
$16 Объем
5%
32°C
$0 Объем
6%
33°C или выше
$0 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for São Paulo indicate a warming trend into September 4 driven by northwesterly flow, with model consensus pointing to afternoon highs near 27–29 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and only scattered shower chances. Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as the Met Office, Yr, and regional models cluster in this range after cooler conditions on September 2–3, while slight differences in cloud timing or convective development create modest spread toward 30 °C or lower values. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 28–29 °C because these outcomes align with the central tendency of current numerical weather predictions and historical September variability at the site, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded by local meteorological services.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Объем
$687Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for São Paulo indicate a warming trend into September 4 driven by northwesterly flow, with model consensus pointing to afternoon highs near 27–29 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and only scattered shower chances. Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as the Met Office, Yr, and regional models cluster in this range after cooler conditions on September 2–3, while slight differences in cloud timing or convective development create modest spread toward 30 °C or lower values. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 28–29 °C because these outcomes align with the central tendency of current numerical weather predictions and historical September variability at the site, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded by local meteorological services.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$687Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 8:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts for São Paulo indicate a warming trend into September 4 driven by northwesterly flow, with model consensus pointing to afternoon highs near 27–29 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and only scattered shower chances. Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as the Met Office, Yr, and regional models cluster in this range after cooler conditions on September 2–3, while slight differences in cloud timing or convective development create modest spread toward 30 °C or lower values. Trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 28–29 °C because these outcomes align with the central tendency of current numerical weather predictions and historical September variability at the site, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded by local meteorological services.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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