Current GFS and ensemble forecasts position a 25°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 2, with afternoon peaks near that level under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1022–1023 hPa. Model consensus across sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 24–26°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C at 53.5% implied probability and the secondary 24°C and 26°C shares. This aligns with early-September climatology (average high ~23.5°C) while reflecting modest warming from recent high-pressure ridging, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong advection of warmer air. Limited model spread and the proximity of resolution leave little room for significant upward or downward revision before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 2 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 2 сентября?
25°C 54%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
23°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$17,909 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,909 Объем
2 сент. 2026 г.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
26%
25°C
54%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 54%
24°C 26%
26°C 16%
23°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$17,909 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,909 Объем
2 сент. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$420 Объем
<1%
21°C
$204 Объем
<1%
22°C
$596 Объем
<1%
23°C
$2,145 Объем
6%
24°C
$5,610 Объем
26%
25°C
$2,976 Объем
54%
26°C
$2,102 Объем
16%
27°C
$1,502 Объем
3%
28°C
$232 Объем
<1%
29°C
$931 Объем
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,191 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current GFS and ensemble forecasts position a 25°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 2, with afternoon peaks near that level under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1022–1023 hPa. Model consensus across sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 24–26°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C at 53.5% implied probability and the secondary 24°C and 26°C shares. This aligns with early-September climatology (average high ~23.5°C) while reflecting modest warming from recent high-pressure ridging, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong advection of warmer air. Limited model spread and the proximity of resolution leave little room for significant upward or downward revision before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$17,909Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current GFS and ensemble forecasts position a 25°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 2, with afternoon peaks near that level under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1022–1023 hPa. Model consensus across sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 24–26°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C at 53.5% implied probability and the secondary 24°C and 26°C shares. This aligns with early-September climatology (average high ~23.5°C) while reflecting modest warming from recent high-pressure ridging, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong advection of warmer air. Limited model spread and the proximity of resolution leave little room for significant upward or downward revision before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$17,909Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current GFS and ensemble forecasts position a 25°C high as the most probable outcome for Paris on September 2, with afternoon peaks near that level under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure near 1022–1023 hPa. Model consensus across sources shows daytime maxima clustered between 24–26°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 25°C at 53.5% implied probability and the secondary 24°C and 26°C shares. This aligns with early-September climatology (average high ~23.5°C) while reflecting modest warming from recent high-pressure ridging, with minimal precipitation risk and no strong advection of warmer air. Limited model spread and the proximity of resolution leave little room for significant upward or downward revision before official observations finalize the daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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