Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate overnight lows in Los Angeles on September 4 near 63–65°F under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal marine layer influence, consistent with early September climatology around 64°F. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54% implied probability for 66–67°F as the leading outcome, aligns with this stable high-pressure pattern and limited cooling potential. Minor model spreads and urban microclimate effects introduce some uncertainty around exact minima, while probabilities for sub-60°F outcomes remain low absent unexpected radiative cooling or data revisions from official stations. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will refine these market-implied odds as the night progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 4 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Лос-Анджелесе 4 сентября?
66-67°F 62%
64-65°F 25%
68-69°F 18%
55°F или ниже 18%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
55°F или ниже
18%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
16%
60-61°F
16%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
55%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
12%
74°F или выше
15%
66-67°F 62%
64-65°F 25%
68-69°F 18%
55°F или ниже 18%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
55°F или ниже
$0 Объем
18%
56-57°F
$57 Объем
7%
58-59°F
$0 Объем
16%
60-61°F
$0 Объем
16%
62-63°F
$13 Объем
18%
64-65°F
$16 Объем
25%
66-67°F
$80 Объем
55%
68-69°F
$174 Объем
19%
70-71°F
$5 Объем
9%
72-73°F
$8 Объем
12%
74°F или выше
$12 Объем
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate overnight lows in Los Angeles on September 4 near 63–65°F under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal marine layer influence, consistent with early September climatology around 64°F. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54% implied probability for 66–67°F as the leading outcome, aligns with this stable high-pressure pattern and limited cooling potential. Minor model spreads and urban microclimate effects introduce some uncertainty around exact minima, while probabilities for sub-60°F outcomes remain low absent unexpected radiative cooling or data revisions from official stations. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will refine these market-implied odds as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Объем
$365Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate overnight lows in Los Angeles on September 4 near 63–65°F under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal marine layer influence, consistent with early September climatology around 64°F. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54% implied probability for 66–67°F as the leading outcome, aligns with this stable high-pressure pattern and limited cooling potential. Minor model spreads and urban microclimate effects introduce some uncertainty around exact minima, while probabilities for sub-60°F outcomes remain low absent unexpected radiative cooling or data revisions from official stations. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will refine these market-implied odds as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$365Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate overnight lows in Los Angeles on September 4 near 63–65°F under mostly clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal marine layer influence, consistent with early September climatology around 64°F. Trader consensus, reflected in the 54% implied probability for 66–67°F as the leading outcome, aligns with this stable high-pressure pattern and limited cooling potential. Minor model spreads and urban microclimate effects introduce some uncertainty around exact minima, while probabilities for sub-60°F outcomes remain low absent unexpected radiative cooling or data revisions from official stations. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will refine these market-implied odds as the night progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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