Latest National Weather Service guidance projects a high near 68°F (20°C) for San Francisco on September 5 under mostly sunny skies with moderate westerly winds, consistent with the marine layer’s typical moderating effect in early September. This aligns with the market’s leading 70-71°F outcome at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 68-69°F at 23%, reflecting trader adjustments for possible slight warming from model consensus or urban heat island influences. Historical averages place the date’s mean high at 70.1°F, while recent September readings have hovered in the upper 60s to low 70s without extreme departures. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and afternoon observations will determine the final maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 5 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 5 сентября?
70-71°F 44%
68-69°F 24%
72-73°F 22%
66-67°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
59°F или ниже
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
22%
74–75°F
4%
76-77°F
3%
78°F или выше
1%
70-71°F 44%
68-69°F 24%
72-73°F 22%
66-67°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
59°F или ниже
$80 Объем
1%
60-61°F
$364 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$5 Объем
3%
64-65°F
$0 Объем
3%
66-67°F
$7 Объем
7%
68-69°F
$92 Объем
24%
70-71°F
$324 Объем
44%
72-73°F
$426 Объем
22%
74–75°F
$127 Объем
4%
76-77°F
$7 Объем
3%
78°F или выше
$164 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance projects a high near 68°F (20°C) for San Francisco on September 5 under mostly sunny skies with moderate westerly winds, consistent with the marine layer’s typical moderating effect in early September. This aligns with the market’s leading 70-71°F outcome at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 68-69°F at 23%, reflecting trader adjustments for possible slight warming from model consensus or urban heat island influences. Historical averages place the date’s mean high at 70.1°F, while recent September readings have hovered in the upper 60s to low 70s without extreme departures. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and afternoon observations will determine the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Объем
$1,596Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance projects a high near 68°F (20°C) for San Francisco on September 5 under mostly sunny skies with moderate westerly winds, consistent with the marine layer’s typical moderating effect in early September. This aligns with the market’s leading 70-71°F outcome at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 68-69°F at 23%, reflecting trader adjustments for possible slight warming from model consensus or urban heat island influences. Historical averages place the date’s mean high at 70.1°F, while recent September readings have hovered in the upper 60s to low 70s without extreme departures. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and afternoon observations will determine the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,596Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 7:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance projects a high near 68°F (20°C) for San Francisco on September 5 under mostly sunny skies with moderate westerly winds, consistent with the marine layer’s typical moderating effect in early September. This aligns with the market’s leading 70-71°F outcome at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 68-69°F at 23%, reflecting trader adjustments for possible slight warming from model consensus or urban heat island influences. Historical averages place the date’s mean high at 70.1°F, while recent September readings have hovered in the upper 60s to low 70s without extreme departures. With resolution imminent, updated model runs and afternoon observations will determine the final maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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