Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high temperature in the mid- to upper 90s for Austin on September 6, with southerly flow maintaining above-normal warmth while afternoon cloud cover and a slight storm chance introduce modest cooling. This aligns with the market’s concentration on the 94–97 °F outcomes and the 17 % probability assigned to 92–93 °F. September climatology shows an average daily high near 93 °F, so the current setup reflects continued late-summer heat rather than a sharp departure. Traders appear to weigh the risk that scattered convection could trim the peak versus the potential for clearer skies to push readings toward 96–97 °F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 6 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 6 сентября?
94-95°F 44%
96-97°F 30%
92-93°F 17%
98-99°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
85°F или ниже
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
17%
94-95°F
44%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
2%
104°F или выше
2%
94-95°F 44%
96-97°F 30%
92-93°F 17%
98-99°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
85°F или ниже
$305 Объем
1%
86-87°F
$100 Объем
1%
88-89°F
$0 Объем
2%
90-91°F
$0 Объем
5%
92-93°F
$131 Объем
17%
94-95°F
$148 Объем
44%
96-97°F
$1,796 Объем
30%
98-99°F
$260 Объем
5%
100-101°F
$110 Объем
2%
102-103°F
$0 Объем
2%
104°F или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high temperature in the mid- to upper 90s for Austin on September 6, with southerly flow maintaining above-normal warmth while afternoon cloud cover and a slight storm chance introduce modest cooling. This aligns with the market’s concentration on the 94–97 °F outcomes and the 17 % probability assigned to 92–93 °F. September climatology shows an average daily high near 93 °F, so the current setup reflects continued late-summer heat rather than a sharp departure. Traders appear to weigh the risk that scattered convection could trim the peak versus the potential for clearer skies to push readings toward 96–97 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Объем
$2,849Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high temperature in the mid- to upper 90s for Austin on September 6, with southerly flow maintaining above-normal warmth while afternoon cloud cover and a slight storm chance introduce modest cooling. This aligns with the market’s concentration on the 94–97 °F outcomes and the 17 % probability assigned to 92–93 °F. September climatology shows an average daily high near 93 °F, so the current setup reflects continued late-summer heat rather than a sharp departure. Traders appear to weigh the risk that scattered convection could trim the peak versus the potential for clearer skies to push readings toward 96–97 °F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,849Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high temperature in the mid- to upper 90s for Austin on September 6, with southerly flow maintaining above-normal warmth while afternoon cloud cover and a slight storm chance introduce modest cooling. This aligns with the market’s concentration on the 94–97 °F outcomes and the 17 % probability assigned to 92–93 °F. September climatology shows an average daily high near 93 °F, so the current setup reflects continued late-summer heat rather than a sharp departure. Traders appear to weigh the risk that scattered convection could trim the peak versus the potential for clearer skies to push readings toward 96–97 °F.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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