**Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate minimum temperatures of 26–31°C for September 5, with trader consensus centering on 25–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions.** A weakening tropical cyclone influence and shifting west-to-southwest winds are expected to maintain high humidity and scattered showers without significant cooling, consistent with climatological baselines where early-September overnight lows average near 25°C. Current observations on September 3 show nighttime readings around 26°C, supporting market-implied probabilities that favor 26°C as the most likely daily minimum. Ensemble model runs and official guidance show limited variability, though brief clearer periods or localized rain could nudge the exact low slightly lower or higher within the narrow 25–27°C band. Updated HKO briefings and short-range model outputs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 5 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 5 сентября?
26°C 44%
25°C 25%
27°C 20%
23°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
7%
21°C
8%
22°C
9%
23°C
13%
24°C
7%
25°C
25%
26°C
44%
27°C
20%
28°C
11%
29°C
10%
30°C или выше
2%
26°C 44%
25°C 25%
27°C 20%
23°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$0 Объем
7%
21°C
$0 Объем
8%
22°C
$0 Объем
9%
23°C
$0 Объем
13%
24°C
$252 Объем
7%
25°C
$0 Объем
25%
26°C
$162 Объем
44%
27°C
$199 Объем
20%
28°C
$0 Объем
11%
29°C
$0 Объем
10%
30°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate minimum temperatures of 26–31°C for September 5, with trader consensus centering on 25–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions.** A weakening tropical cyclone influence and shifting west-to-southwest winds are expected to maintain high humidity and scattered showers without significant cooling, consistent with climatological baselines where early-September overnight lows average near 25°C. Current observations on September 3 show nighttime readings around 26°C, supporting market-implied probabilities that favor 26°C as the most likely daily minimum. Ensemble model runs and official guidance show limited variability, though brief clearer periods or localized rain could nudge the exact low slightly lower or higher within the narrow 25–27°C band. Updated HKO briefings and short-range model outputs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$614Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate minimum temperatures of 26–31°C for September 5, with trader consensus centering on 25–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions.** A weakening tropical cyclone influence and shifting west-to-southwest winds are expected to maintain high humidity and scattered showers without significant cooling, consistent with climatological baselines where early-September overnight lows average near 25°C. Current observations on September 3 show nighttime readings around 26°C, supporting market-implied probabilities that favor 26°C as the most likely daily minimum. Ensemble model runs and official guidance show limited variability, though brief clearer periods or localized rain could nudge the exact low slightly lower or higher within the narrow 25–27°C band. Updated HKO briefings and short-range model outputs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$614Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate minimum temperatures of 26–31°C for September 5, with trader consensus centering on 25–27°C amid typical late-summer conditions.** A weakening tropical cyclone influence and shifting west-to-southwest winds are expected to maintain high humidity and scattered showers without significant cooling, consistent with climatological baselines where early-September overnight lows average near 25°C. Current observations on September 3 show nighttime readings around 26°C, supporting market-implied probabilities that favor 26°C as the most likely daily minimum. Ensemble model runs and official guidance show limited variability, though brief clearer periods or localized rain could nudge the exact low slightly lower or higher within the narrow 25–27°C band. Updated HKO briefings and short-range model outputs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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