Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate San Francisco overnight lows near 55–58°F for September 5, aligning with the market’s leading 56–57°F bin at 36% implied probability. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in marine layer depth and onshore flow strength, as September typically sees weakening of the North Pacific High and reduced upwelling, allowing milder conditions than peak summer. However, variable wind patterns or lingering moisture could enhance radiative cooling or maintain cloud cover, supporting the sizable 33% odds on 47°F or below. Model consensus remains tight around historical early-September averages of 56°F, with resolution hinging on the next 48-hour forecast updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 5 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 5 сентября?
66°F или выше 66%
47°F или ниже 65%
62–63°F 49%
50-51°F 47%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
47°F или ниже
65%
48-49°F
26%
50-51°F
47%
52-53°F
47%
54-55°F
25%
56-57°F
37%
58-59°F
31%
60-61°F
47%
62–63°F
49%
64-65°F
27%
66°F или выше
66%
66°F или выше 66%
47°F или ниже 65%
62–63°F 49%
50-51°F 47%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 сент. 2026 г.
47°F или ниже
$0 Объем
65%
48-49°F
$0 Объем
26%
50-51°F
$0 Объем
47%
52-53°F
$0 Объем
47%
54-55°F
$0 Объем
25%
56-57°F
$0 Объем
37%
58-59°F
$0 Объем
31%
60-61°F
$0 Объем
47%
62–63°F
$59 Объем
49%
64-65°F
$0 Объем
27%
66°F или выше
$0 Объем
66%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate San Francisco overnight lows near 55–58°F for September 5, aligning with the market’s leading 56–57°F bin at 36% implied probability. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in marine layer depth and onshore flow strength, as September typically sees weakening of the North Pacific High and reduced upwelling, allowing milder conditions than peak summer. However, variable wind patterns or lingering moisture could enhance radiative cooling or maintain cloud cover, supporting the sizable 33% odds on 47°F or below. Model consensus remains tight around historical early-September averages of 56°F, with resolution hinging on the next 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Объем
$59Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 7:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate San Francisco overnight lows near 55–58°F for September 5, aligning with the market’s leading 56–57°F bin at 36% implied probability. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in marine layer depth and onshore flow strength, as September typically sees weakening of the North Pacific High and reduced upwelling, allowing milder conditions than peak summer. However, variable wind patterns or lingering moisture could enhance radiative cooling or maintain cloud cover, supporting the sizable 33% odds on 47°F or below. Model consensus remains tight around historical early-September averages of 56°F, with resolution hinging on the next 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$59Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 7:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate San Francisco overnight lows near 55–58°F for September 5, aligning with the market’s leading 56–57°F bin at 36% implied probability. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in marine layer depth and onshore flow strength, as September typically sees weakening of the North Pacific High and reduced upwelling, allowing milder conditions than peak summer. However, variable wind patterns or lingering moisture could enhance radiative cooling or maintain cloud cover, supporting the sizable 33% odds on 47°F or below. Model consensus remains tight around historical early-September averages of 56°F, with resolution hinging on the next 48-hour forecast updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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