Forecast consensus from official sources and numerical models points to a high near 23–25°C for Toronto on September 5 under sunny skies and light northerly flow. Environment Canada guidance of 25°C aligns with the market’s top two outcomes, while global and regional models cluster slightly lower around 22–23°C amid stable high pressure and modest onshore influence that limits afternoon warming. Historical September 5 averages near 24°C provide context, but current conditions lack the strong southerly advection or clear-sky radiative heating needed for outliers above 26°C. Traders weigh minor model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing against the narrow resolution bands, keeping 24°C and 25°C closely matched with limited movement expected until final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Торонто 5 сентября?
24°C 40%
25°C 31%
23°C 15%
26°C 7%
19°C или ниже
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
15%
24°C
40%
25°C
31%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C или выше
3%
24°C 40%
25°C 31%
23°C 15%
26°C 7%
19°C или ниже
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
15%
24°C
40%
25°C
31%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C или выше
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from official sources and numerical models points to a high near 23–25°C for Toronto on September 5 under sunny skies and light northerly flow. Environment Canada guidance of 25°C aligns with the market’s top two outcomes, while global and regional models cluster slightly lower around 22–23°C amid stable high pressure and modest onshore influence that limits afternoon warming. Historical September 5 averages near 24°C provide context, but current conditions lack the strong southerly advection or clear-sky radiative heating needed for outliers above 26°C. Traders weigh minor model spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing against the narrow resolution bands, keeping 24°C and 25°C closely matched with limited movement expected until final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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