Recent forecast model runs and observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional position 24–25°C as the most probable maximum temperatures for Mexico City on September 6, reflecting typical early-September conditions at 2,240 m elevation during the rainy season. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover, with a high probability of showers or thunderstorms, are expected to limit further warming after midday peaks, consistent with historical climatology showing average highs near 23°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest potential for 26°C or higher under brief clear spells or for sub-23°C outcomes if heavier rain arrives earlier. Updated model consensus and surface observations from the prior 24–48 hours reinforce trader focus on these narrow thresholds ahead of final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 6 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мехико 6 сентября?
24°C 46%
25°C 35%
23°C 15%
26°C или выше 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
15%
24°C
46%
25°C
35%
26°C или выше
5%
24°C 46%
25°C 35%
23°C 15%
26°C или выше 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$515 Объем
<1%
17°C
$135 Объем
<1%
18°C
$295 Объем
<1%
19°C
$207 Объем
<1%
20°C
$87 Объем
1%
21°C
$73 Объем
2%
22°C
$114 Объем
4%
23°C
$338 Объем
15%
24°C
$1,586 Объем
46%
25°C
$798 Объем
35%
26°C или выше
$561 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs and observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional position 24–25°C as the most probable maximum temperatures for Mexico City on September 6, reflecting typical early-September conditions at 2,240 m elevation during the rainy season. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover, with a high probability of showers or thunderstorms, are expected to limit further warming after midday peaks, consistent with historical climatology showing average highs near 23°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest potential for 26°C or higher under brief clear spells or for sub-23°C outcomes if heavier rain arrives earlier. Updated model consensus and surface observations from the prior 24–48 hours reinforce trader focus on these narrow thresholds ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Объем
$4,709Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs and observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional position 24–25°C as the most probable maximum temperatures for Mexico City on September 6, reflecting typical early-September conditions at 2,240 m elevation during the rainy season. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover, with a high probability of showers or thunderstorms, are expected to limit further warming after midday peaks, consistent with historical climatology showing average highs near 23°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest potential for 26°C or higher under brief clear spells or for sub-23°C outcomes if heavier rain arrives earlier. Updated model consensus and surface observations from the prior 24–48 hours reinforce trader focus on these narrow thresholds ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,709Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 8:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs and observational data from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional position 24–25°C as the most probable maximum temperatures for Mexico City on September 6, reflecting typical early-September conditions at 2,240 m elevation during the rainy season. Afternoon convection and increasing cloud cover, with a high probability of showers or thunderstorms, are expected to limit further warming after midday peaks, consistent with historical climatology showing average highs near 23°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with only modest potential for 26°C or higher under brief clear spells or for sub-23°C outcomes if heavier rain arrives earlier. Updated model consensus and surface observations from the prior 24–48 hours reinforce trader focus on these narrow thresholds ahead of final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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