Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models such as those referenced by Yr.no place Qingdao’s September 6 high in the 28–30 °C range under clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, supporting the near-even market split between 30 °C and 31 °C. Stable high pressure and light winds limit daytime mixing and moisture influx, keeping temperatures close to early-September climatological norms rather than allowing strong warming or cooling. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind direction, with some runs favoring a brief afternoon peak near 31 °C while others cap the maximum at 29 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next ECMWF or GFS runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Циндао 6 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Циндао 6 сентября?
30°C 36%
31°C 36%
32°C 13%
29°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
36%
31°C
36%
32°C
13%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C или выше
1%
30°C 36%
31°C 36%
32°C 13%
29°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$131 Объем
<1%
26°C
$86 Объем
1%
27°C
$153 Объем
2%
28°C
$155 Объем
5%
29°C
$11 Объем
10%
30°C
$6 Объем
36%
31°C
$32 Объем
36%
32°C
$30 Объем
13%
33°C
$17 Объем
5%
34°C
$49 Объем
4%
35°C или выше
$74 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models such as those referenced by Yr.no place Qingdao’s September 6 high in the 28–30 °C range under clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, supporting the near-even market split between 30 °C and 31 °C. Stable high pressure and light winds limit daytime mixing and moisture influx, keeping temperatures close to early-September climatological norms rather than allowing strong warming or cooling. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind direction, with some runs favoring a brief afternoon peak near 31 °C while others cap the maximum at 29 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next ECMWF or GFS runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$743Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models such as those referenced by Yr.no place Qingdao’s September 6 high in the 28–30 °C range under clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, supporting the near-even market split between 30 °C and 31 °C. Stable high pressure and light winds limit daytime mixing and moisture influx, keeping temperatures close to early-September climatological norms rather than allowing strong warming or cooling. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind direction, with some runs favoring a brief afternoon peak near 31 °C while others cap the maximum at 29 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next ECMWF or GFS runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$743Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and international models such as those referenced by Yr.no place Qingdao’s September 6 high in the 28–30 °C range under clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, supporting the near-even market split between 30 °C and 31 °C. Stable high pressure and light winds limit daytime mixing and moisture influx, keeping temperatures close to early-September climatological norms rather than allowing strong warming or cooling. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind direction, with some runs favoring a brief afternoon peak near 31 °C while others cap the maximum at 29 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next ECMWF or GFS runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы