Current forecast models from agencies like AEMET indicate a peak temperature near 38–39°C in Madrid on September 4, driven by a persistent high-pressure system promoting clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that allows strong daytime heating. Madrid’s continental climate and urban heat island effect amplify maxima this late in the season, when September averages hover around 27–30°C. Ensemble runs show limited spread but note sensitivity to minor wind shifts or moisture intrusions that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C. Official briefings and updated model outputs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the market’s exact daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 4 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 4 сентября?
39°C 53%
40°C 26%
38°C 18%
37°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
33°C или ниже
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
4%
38°C
18%
39°C
53%
40°C
26%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C или выше
<1%
39°C 53%
40°C 26%
38°C 18%
37°C 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
33°C или ниже
$65 Объем
1%
34°C
$65 Объем
<1%
35°C
$23 Объем
1%
36°C
$15 Объем
1%
37°C
$47 Объем
4%
38°C
$426 Объем
18%
39°C
$463 Объем
53%
40°C
$275 Объем
26%
41°C
$60 Объем
1%
42°C
$65 Объем
1%
43°C или выше
$115 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like AEMET indicate a peak temperature near 38–39°C in Madrid on September 4, driven by a persistent high-pressure system promoting clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that allows strong daytime heating. Madrid’s continental climate and urban heat island effect amplify maxima this late in the season, when September averages hover around 27–30°C. Ensemble runs show limited spread but note sensitivity to minor wind shifts or moisture intrusions that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C. Official briefings and updated model outputs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the market’s exact daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$1,618Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like AEMET indicate a peak temperature near 38–39°C in Madrid on September 4, driven by a persistent high-pressure system promoting clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that allows strong daytime heating. Madrid’s continental climate and urban heat island effect amplify maxima this late in the season, when September averages hover around 27–30°C. Ensemble runs show limited spread but note sensitivity to minor wind shifts or moisture intrusions that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C. Official briefings and updated model outputs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the market’s exact daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,618Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like AEMET indicate a peak temperature near 38–39°C in Madrid on September 4, driven by a persistent high-pressure system promoting clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that allows strong daytime heating. Madrid’s continental climate and urban heat island effect amplify maxima this late in the season, when September averages hover around 27–30°C. Ensemble runs show limited spread but note sensitivity to minor wind shifts or moisture intrusions that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C. Official briefings and updated model outputs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the market’s exact daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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