Current forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and GFS ensembles point to a mostly sunny September 4 in Munich with light to moderate westerly flow, supporting a daily maximum near 29°C—aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 29–30°C outcomes. Clear skies and downslope warming from the Alps are expected to enhance daytime heating above the 21.6°C climatological average, while limited moisture keeps cloud cover minimal. Small differences among leading probabilities reflect ensemble spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than major pattern shifts. Updated model runs and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold for market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 4 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 4 сентября?
30°C 34%
29°C 30%
28°C 15%
31°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
15%
29°C
30%
30°C
34%
31°C
10%
32°C
2%
33°C или выше
1%
30°C 34%
29°C 30%
28°C 15%
31°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$0 Объем
1%
24°C
$7 Объем
<1%
25°C
$11 Объем
<1%
26°C
$11 Объем
3%
27°C
$60 Объем
6%
28°C
$13 Объем
15%
29°C
$10 Объем
30%
30°C
$316 Объем
34%
31°C
$6 Объем
10%
32°C
$107 Объем
2%
33°C или выше
$0 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and GFS ensembles point to a mostly sunny September 4 in Munich with light to moderate westerly flow, supporting a daily maximum near 29°C—aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 29–30°C outcomes. Clear skies and downslope warming from the Alps are expected to enhance daytime heating above the 21.6°C climatological average, while limited moisture keeps cloud cover minimal. Small differences among leading probabilities reflect ensemble spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than major pattern shifts. Updated model runs and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$540Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and GFS ensembles point to a mostly sunny September 4 in Munich with light to moderate westerly flow, supporting a daily maximum near 29°C—aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 29–30°C outcomes. Clear skies and downslope warming from the Alps are expected to enhance daytime heating above the 21.6°C climatological average, while limited moisture keeps cloud cover minimal. Small differences among leading probabilities reflect ensemble spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than major pattern shifts. Updated model runs and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$540Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and GFS ensembles point to a mostly sunny September 4 in Munich with light to moderate westerly flow, supporting a daily maximum near 29°C—aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 29–30°C outcomes. Clear skies and downslope warming from the Alps are expected to enhance daytime heating above the 21.6°C climatological average, while limited moisture keeps cloud cover minimal. Small differences among leading probabilities reflect ensemble spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than major pattern shifts. Updated model runs and real-time observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold for market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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