Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-derived runs, indicate Munich's September 2 high will peak near 24–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with the market-implied 63.5% probability on 25°C and secondary support for 24–26°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around the seasonal average of 22°C. Stable high pressure and modest advection of milder air maintain temperatures above recent cooler anomalies without supporting stronger warming that would elevate odds for 27°C or higher. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 2 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 2 сентября?
25°C 64%
26°C 17%
24°C 16%
23°C 3%
НОВОЕ
$10,708 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,708 Объем
2 сент. 2026 г.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
16%
25°C
64%
26°C
17%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 64%
26°C 17%
24°C 16%
23°C 3%
НОВОЕ
$10,708 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,708 Объем
2 сент. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$483 Объем
<1%
21°C
$326 Объем
<1%
22°C
$333 Объем
<1%
23°C
$1,281 Объем
3%
24°C
$2,367 Объем
16%
25°C
$3,178 Объем
64%
26°C
$1,182 Объем
17%
27°C
$811 Объем
1%
28°C
$322 Объем
<1%
29°C
$143 Объем
<1%
30°C or higher
$283 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-derived runs, indicate Munich's September 2 high will peak near 24–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with the market-implied 63.5% probability on 25°C and secondary support for 24–26°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around the seasonal average of 22°C. Stable high pressure and modest advection of milder air maintain temperatures above recent cooler anomalies without supporting stronger warming that would elevate odds for 27°C or higher. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$10,708Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-derived runs, indicate Munich's September 2 high will peak near 24–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with the market-implied 63.5% probability on 25°C and secondary support for 24–26°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around the seasonal average of 22°C. Stable high pressure and modest advection of milder air maintain temperatures above recent cooler anomalies without supporting stronger warming that would elevate odds for 27°C or higher. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$10,708Дата окончания
2 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-derived runs, indicate Munich's September 2 high will peak near 24–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with the market-implied 63.5% probability on 25°C and secondary support for 24–26°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around the seasonal average of 22°C. Stable high pressure and modest advection of milder air maintain temperatures above recent cooler anomalies without supporting stronger warming that would elevate odds for 27°C or higher. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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