Current forecasts for Chongqing on September 4 indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation chances, supporting peak temperatures near 34–35°C amid the Sichuan Basin’s typical early-autumn radiative heating. Recent days have featured similar clear conditions with observed highs of 32–35°C and minimal cloud cover, keeping the market’s implied probabilities clustered around these values while allowing modest upside risk to 36°C if afternoon insolation strengthens. Differentiating factors include variable humidity levels near 45–50% and subtle steering patterns that could modulate the urban heat island effect or introduce thin high clouds, introducing the observed spread across adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чунцине 4 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чунцине 4 сентября?
35°C 32%
34°C 30%
36°C 16%
33°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
29°C или ниже
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
6%
33°C
14%
34°C
30%
35°C
32%
36°C
16%
37°C
5%
38°C
3%
39°C или выше
3%
35°C 32%
34°C 30%
36°C 16%
33°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
29°C или ниже
$63 Объем
1%
30°C
$75 Объем
2%
31°C
$20 Объем
3%
32°C
$2 Объем
6%
33°C
$13 Объем
14%
34°C
$0 Объем
30%
35°C
$10 Объем
32%
36°C
$25 Объем
16%
37°C
$0 Объем
5%
38°C
$0 Объем
3%
39°C или выше
$0 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Chongqing on September 4 indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation chances, supporting peak temperatures near 34–35°C amid the Sichuan Basin’s typical early-autumn radiative heating. Recent days have featured similar clear conditions with observed highs of 32–35°C and minimal cloud cover, keeping the market’s implied probabilities clustered around these values while allowing modest upside risk to 36°C if afternoon insolation strengthens. Differentiating factors include variable humidity levels near 45–50% and subtle steering patterns that could modulate the urban heat island effect or introduce thin high clouds, introducing the observed spread across adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$208Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Chongqing on September 4 indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation chances, supporting peak temperatures near 34–35°C amid the Sichuan Basin’s typical early-autumn radiative heating. Recent days have featured similar clear conditions with observed highs of 32–35°C and minimal cloud cover, keeping the market’s implied probabilities clustered around these values while allowing modest upside risk to 36°C if afternoon insolation strengthens. Differentiating factors include variable humidity levels near 45–50% and subtle steering patterns that could modulate the urban heat island effect or introduce thin high clouds, introducing the observed spread across adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$208Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Chongqing on September 4 indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light winds and low precipitation chances, supporting peak temperatures near 34–35°C amid the Sichuan Basin’s typical early-autumn radiative heating. Recent days have featured similar clear conditions with observed highs of 32–35°C and minimal cloud cover, keeping the market’s implied probabilities clustered around these values while allowing modest upside risk to 36°C if afternoon insolation strengthens. Differentiating factors include variable humidity levels near 45–50% and subtle steering patterns that could modulate the urban heat island effect or introduce thin high clouds, introducing the observed spread across adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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