Recent official forecasts from METMalaysia and multiple models project a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 4, consistent with September climatology (average lows near 24°C, with rare historical dips to 20–21°C). Equatorial location and southwest monsoon conditions—marked by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent showers—limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minima stable around 23–25°C. No cold-surge or anomalous atmospheric patterns are indicated in current guidance, rendering 19°C or below highly improbable despite its 49% market-implied probability. Trader positioning may reflect short-term forecast variance or liquidity factors rather than scientific consensus, while probabilities clustered near 24–28°C align more closely with expected ranges and upcoming model updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Куала-Лумпуре 4 сентября?
19°C или ниже 98%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
20°C 49%
19°C или ниже
98%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C или выше
2%
19°C или ниже 98%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
20°C 49%
19°C или ниже
98%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from METMalaysia and multiple models project a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 4, consistent with September climatology (average lows near 24°C, with rare historical dips to 20–21°C). Equatorial location and southwest monsoon conditions—marked by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent showers—limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minima stable around 23–25°C. No cold-surge or anomalous atmospheric patterns are indicated in current guidance, rendering 19°C or below highly improbable despite its 49% market-implied probability. Trader positioning may reflect short-term forecast variance or liquidity factors rather than scientific consensus, while probabilities clustered near 24–28°C align more closely with expected ranges and upcoming model updates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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