Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a period of mid-level rain and thunderstorms over Guangzhou on September 4, driven by increased cloud cover and northeasterly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustering near 23°C, aligning with the leading market-implied odds of 39% for that outcome and 28% for 24°C, as persistent moisture and precipitation suppress typical early-September lows around 24–25°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable rainfall timing and intensity, keeping probabilities for extremes below 25% while underscoring uncertainty in exact overnight minima until updated model runs refine the track.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 4 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 4 сентября?
20°C 48%
21°C 48%
22°C 48%
26°C 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
47%
19°C
9%
20°C
48%
21°C
48%
22°C
48%
23°C
36%
24°C
28%
25°C
47%
26°C
48%
27°C
9%
28°C или выше
44%
20°C 48%
21°C 48%
22°C 48%
26°C 48%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
18°C или ниже
$0 Объем
47%
19°C
$0 Объем
9%
20°C
$0 Объем
48%
21°C
$0 Объем
48%
22°C
$0 Объем
48%
23°C
$0 Объем
36%
24°C
$0 Объем
28%
25°C
$0 Объем
47%
26°C
$0 Объем
48%
27°C
$0 Объем
9%
28°C или выше
$0 Объем
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a period of mid-level rain and thunderstorms over Guangzhou on September 4, driven by increased cloud cover and northeasterly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustering near 23°C, aligning with the leading market-implied odds of 39% for that outcome and 28% for 24°C, as persistent moisture and precipitation suppress typical early-September lows around 24–25°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable rainfall timing and intensity, keeping probabilities for extremes below 25% while underscoring uncertainty in exact overnight minima until updated model runs refine the track.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a period of mid-level rain and thunderstorms over Guangzhou on September 4, driven by increased cloud cover and northeasterly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustering near 23°C, aligning with the leading market-implied odds of 39% for that outcome and 28% for 24°C, as persistent moisture and precipitation suppress typical early-September lows around 24–25°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable rainfall timing and intensity, keeping probabilities for extremes below 25% while underscoring uncertainty in exact overnight minima until updated model runs refine the track.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate a period of mid-level rain and thunderstorms over Guangzhou on September 4, driven by increased cloud cover and northeasterly flow that limits radiative cooling overnight. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustering near 23°C, aligning with the leading market-implied odds of 39% for that outcome and 28% for 24°C, as persistent moisture and precipitation suppress typical early-September lows around 24–25°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable rainfall timing and intensity, keeping probabilities for extremes below 25% while underscoring uncertainty in exact overnight minima until updated model runs refine the track.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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