**Trader consensus at 100% on 25°C reflects real-time Hong Kong Observatory station data and model consensus showing overnight minima near this threshold.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from Tropical Cyclone Saudel’s outer rainbands have limited radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures from falling much below recent readings that dipped to approximately 25–26°C. Official HKO guidance for September 2 lists a 26°C minimum within a 26–30°C daily range, consistent with climatological September averages around 24.7°C but elevated by the current synoptic pattern. Resolution hinges on the final verified 24-hour minimum from primary HKO sites; any unexpected clear-sky window or measurement revision could shift the exact recorded value, though current conditions and model runs strongly support the 25°C outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 2 сентября?
25°C 99.2%
23°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$16,842 Объем
$16,842 Объем
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.2%
23°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$16,842 Объем
$16,842 Объем
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% on 25°C reflects real-time Hong Kong Observatory station data and model consensus showing overnight minima near this threshold.** Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from Tropical Cyclone Saudel’s outer rainbands have limited radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures from falling much below recent readings that dipped to approximately 25–26°C. Official HKO guidance for September 2 lists a 26°C minimum within a 26–30°C daily range, consistent with climatological September averages around 24.7°C but elevated by the current synoptic pattern. Resolution hinges on the final verified 24-hour minimum from primary HKO sites; any unexpected clear-sky window or measurement revision could shift the exact recorded value, though current conditions and model runs strongly support the 25°C outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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