Active southwest monsoon conditions, including persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and forecast spells of rain or thundershowers, are the dominant factors moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow. Official IMD guidance and multiple model runs indicate daytime highs of 31–32°C on September 4, with recent heavy rainfall (over 35 mm at the airport on September 2) already suppressing readings 2–3°C below seasonal normals near 33°C. These atmospheric dynamics—enhanced moisture advection from the Bay of Bengal and reduced solar insolation—favor the market-implied probabilities clustering at 31°C (49%) and 32°C (21.5%), while limiting upside risk above 33°C unless the monsoon trough shifts abruptly. Updated forecasts from the Regional Meteorological Centre will provide the next key data point.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лакхнау 4 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Лакхнау 4 сентября?
31°C 49%
32°C 22%
30°C 20%
33°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
20%
31°C
49%
32°C
22%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C или выше
2%
31°C 49%
32°C 22%
30°C 20%
33°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$91 Объем
<1%
26°C
$106 Объем
1%
27°C
$0 Объем
3%
28°C
$83 Объем
2%
29°C
$188 Объем
5%
30°C
$213 Объем
20%
31°C
$98 Объем
49%
32°C
$277 Объем
22%
33°C
$28 Объем
6%
34°C
$35 Объем
2%
35°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, including persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and forecast spells of rain or thundershowers, are the dominant factors moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow. Official IMD guidance and multiple model runs indicate daytime highs of 31–32°C on September 4, with recent heavy rainfall (over 35 mm at the airport on September 2) already suppressing readings 2–3°C below seasonal normals near 33°C. These atmospheric dynamics—enhanced moisture advection from the Bay of Bengal and reduced solar insolation—favor the market-implied probabilities clustering at 31°C (49%) and 32°C (21.5%), while limiting upside risk above 33°C unless the monsoon trough shifts abruptly. Updated forecasts from the Regional Meteorological Centre will provide the next key data point.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$1,119Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, including persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and forecast spells of rain or thundershowers, are the dominant factors moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow. Official IMD guidance and multiple model runs indicate daytime highs of 31–32°C on September 4, with recent heavy rainfall (over 35 mm at the airport on September 2) already suppressing readings 2–3°C below seasonal normals near 33°C. These atmospheric dynamics—enhanced moisture advection from the Bay of Bengal and reduced solar insolation—favor the market-implied probabilities clustering at 31°C (49%) and 32°C (21.5%), while limiting upside risk above 33°C unless the monsoon trough shifts abruptly. Updated forecasts from the Regional Meteorological Centre will provide the next key data point.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,119Дата окончания
4 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions, including persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and forecast spells of rain or thundershowers, are the dominant factors moderating maximum temperatures in Lucknow. Official IMD guidance and multiple model runs indicate daytime highs of 31–32°C on September 4, with recent heavy rainfall (over 35 mm at the airport on September 2) already suppressing readings 2–3°C below seasonal normals near 33°C. These atmospheric dynamics—enhanced moisture advection from the Bay of Bengal and reduced solar insolation—favor the market-implied probabilities clustering at 31°C (49%) and 32°C (21.5%), while limiting upside risk above 33°C unless the monsoon trough shifts abruptly. Updated forecasts from the Regional Meteorological Centre will provide the next key data point.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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