Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and precipitation across Uttar Pradesh are the main factors capping Lucknow's daytime highs near 29–31°C on September 3. Official alerts highlight heavy rain and thunderstorms through September 3, which increase albedo, enhance evaporative cooling, and limit solar insolation under persistent easterly flow and high humidity. Latest model runs and station data show recent maxima near 31–32°C giving way to more overcast conditions, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Variability in exact rainfall timing and intensity across ensemble forecasts keeps 32°C and 29°C as plausible secondary outcomes. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лакхнау 3 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Лакхнау 3 сентября?
30°C 39%
31°C 34%
32°C 14%
29°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
8%
29°C
12%
30°C
39%
31°C
34%
32°C
22%
33°C or higher
11%
30°C 39%
31°C 34%
32°C 14%
29°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 сент. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$0 Объем
<1%
24°C
$247 Объем
1%
25°C
$357 Объем
1%
26°C
$56 Объем
1%
27°C
$25 Объем
6%
28°C
$3 Объем
8%
29°C
$0 Объем
12%
30°C
$0 Объем
39%
31°C
$0 Объем
34%
32°C
$29 Объем
22%
33°C or higher
$0 Объем
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and precipitation across Uttar Pradesh are the main factors capping Lucknow's daytime highs near 29–31°C on September 3. Official alerts highlight heavy rain and thunderstorms through September 3, which increase albedo, enhance evaporative cooling, and limit solar insolation under persistent easterly flow and high humidity. Latest model runs and station data show recent maxima near 31–32°C giving way to more overcast conditions, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Variability in exact rainfall timing and intensity across ensemble forecasts keeps 32°C and 29°C as plausible secondary outcomes. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$717Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and precipitation across Uttar Pradesh are the main factors capping Lucknow's daytime highs near 29–31°C on September 3. Official alerts highlight heavy rain and thunderstorms through September 3, which increase albedo, enhance evaporative cooling, and limit solar insolation under persistent easterly flow and high humidity. Latest model runs and station data show recent maxima near 31–32°C giving way to more overcast conditions, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Variability in exact rainfall timing and intensity across ensemble forecasts keeps 32°C and 29°C as plausible secondary outcomes. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$717Дата окончания
3 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and precipitation across Uttar Pradesh are the main factors capping Lucknow's daytime highs near 29–31°C on September 3. Official alerts highlight heavy rain and thunderstorms through September 3, which increase albedo, enhance evaporative cooling, and limit solar insolation under persistent easterly flow and high humidity. Latest model runs and station data show recent maxima near 31–32°C giving way to more overcast conditions, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Variability in exact rainfall timing and intensity across ensemble forecasts keeps 32°C and 29°C as plausible secondary outcomes. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and next model cycles will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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