Current National Weather Service and local model consensus points to scattered thunderstorms on September 7, supporting a forecast overnight low near 61°F in Denver, though exact minimums hinge on cloud cover timing and any late-day clearing that could enhance radiative cooling. Historical September climatology shows average lows around 53°F, yet persistent warm advection and elevated dew points from recent days have kept readings several degrees above normal. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread among 60–73°F bins against the chance of limited overnight cooling under persistent clouds or storms, producing closely matched probabilities; warmer outcomes above 78°F reflect uncertainty in how quickly any frontal passage or wind shift might arrive. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine resolution criteria tied to official Denver International Airport readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Денвере 7 сентября?
78°F или выше 59%
64-65°F 50%
60-61°F 49%
62-63°F 49%
59°F или ниже
27%
60-61°F
49%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
50%
66–67°F
49%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
19%
78°F или выше
59%
78°F или выше 59%
64-65°F 50%
60-61°F 49%
62-63°F 49%
59°F или ниже
27%
60-61°F
49%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
50%
66–67°F
49%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
49%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
19%
78°F или выше
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and local model consensus points to scattered thunderstorms on September 7, supporting a forecast overnight low near 61°F in Denver, though exact minimums hinge on cloud cover timing and any late-day clearing that could enhance radiative cooling. Historical September climatology shows average lows around 53°F, yet persistent warm advection and elevated dew points from recent days have kept readings several degrees above normal. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread among 60–73°F bins against the chance of limited overnight cooling under persistent clouds or storms, producing closely matched probabilities; warmer outcomes above 78°F reflect uncertainty in how quickly any frontal passage or wind shift might arrive. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine resolution criteria tied to official Denver International Airport readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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