Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Spanish meteorological service and global models indicate Madrid's June 27 maximum will most likely fall in the 34–36 °C range, aligning with the market's heaviest trading on 35 °C (40 %) and 36 °C (22 %). A persistent ridge of high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula is promoting clear skies, strong daytime insolation, and limited cloud cover, while warm advection from North Africa sustains above-normal temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with the upper tail of possibilities supporting the smaller probabilities on 37–38 °C. With only 48 hours remaining, the next 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any updated AEMET bulletins will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 27 июня?
36°C 53%
35°C 42%
34°C 5.8%
37°C 2.9%
$47,738 Объем
$47,738 Объем
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
42%
36°C
53%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C или выше
<1%
36°C 53%
35°C 42%
34°C 5.8%
37°C 2.9%
$47,738 Объем
$47,738 Объем
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
42%
36°C
53%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Spanish meteorological service and global models indicate Madrid's June 27 maximum will most likely fall in the 34–36 °C range, aligning with the market's heaviest trading on 35 °C (40 %) and 36 °C (22 %). A persistent ridge of high pressure over the Iberian Peninsula is promoting clear skies, strong daytime insolation, and limited cloud cover, while warm advection from North Africa sustains above-normal temperatures. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with the upper tail of possibilities supporting the smaller probabilities on 37–38 °C. With only 48 hours remaining, the next 00Z and 12Z model runs plus any updated AEMET bulletins will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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