Latest GFS-based forecasts and European model consensus indicate Madrid will see clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and strong daytime heating on September 12, supporting an afternoon high near 31–32 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes, as recent September warmth has kept surface temperatures several degrees above the 27.3 °C climatological average while stable high pressure suppresses cloud cover and precipitation. Model runs show minimal spread in peak values, with only modest uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing or slight wind shifts that could trim or add 1 °C. Official observations from Madrid stations will determine the precise maximum, with final data expected shortly after sunset on the 12th.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 12 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 12 сентября?
32°C 52%
31°C 34%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
34%
32°C
52%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C или выше
<1%
32°C 52%
31°C 34%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
$15 Объем
1%
28°C
$39 Объем
1%
29°C
$49 Объем
2%
30°C
$73 Объем
3%
31°C
$191 Объем
34%
32°C
$1,311 Объем
52%
33°C
$93 Объем
11%
34°C
$15 Объем
3%
35°C
$6 Объем
1%
36°C
$15 Объем
1%
37°C или выше
$40 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest GFS-based forecasts and European model consensus indicate Madrid will see clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and strong daytime heating on September 12, supporting an afternoon high near 31–32 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes, as recent September warmth has kept surface temperatures several degrees above the 27.3 °C climatological average while stable high pressure suppresses cloud cover and precipitation. Model runs show minimal spread in peak values, with only modest uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing or slight wind shifts that could trim or add 1 °C. Official observations from Madrid stations will determine the precise maximum, with final data expected shortly after sunset on the 12th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$1,848Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest GFS-based forecasts and European model consensus indicate Madrid will see clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and strong daytime heating on September 12, supporting an afternoon high near 31–32 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes, as recent September warmth has kept surface temperatures several degrees above the 27.3 °C climatological average while stable high pressure suppresses cloud cover and precipitation. Model runs show minimal spread in peak values, with only modest uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing or slight wind shifts that could trim or add 1 °C. Official observations from Madrid stations will determine the precise maximum, with final data expected shortly after sunset on the 12th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,848Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Latest GFS-based forecasts and European model consensus indicate Madrid will see clear skies, light easterly to southeasterly winds, and strong daytime heating on September 12, supporting an afternoon high near 31–32 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes, as recent September warmth has kept surface temperatures several degrees above the 27.3 °C climatological average while stable high pressure suppresses cloud cover and precipitation. Model runs show minimal spread in peak values, with only modest uncertainty from boundary-layer mixing or slight wind shifts that could trim or add 1 °C. Official observations from Madrid stations will determine the precise maximum, with final data expected shortly after sunset on the 12th.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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