Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 20 июня?
Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 20 июня?
82-83°F 46%
80-81°F 24%
84-85°F 24%
86-87°F 6%
НОВОЕ
$14,773 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,773 Объем
20 июн. 2026 г.
75°F или ниже
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
46%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F или выше
<1%
82-83°F 46%
80-81°F 24%
84-85°F 24%
86-87°F 6%
НОВОЕ
$14,773 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,773 Объем
20 июн. 2026 г.
75°F или ниже
$1,326 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$1,957 Объем
1%
78-79°F
$1,333 Объем
4%
80-81°F
$1,960 Объем
24%
82-83°F
$2,188 Объем
46%
84-85°F
$2,317 Объем
24%
86-87°F
$1,697 Объем
6%
88-89°F
$462 Объем
1%
90-91°F
$633 Объем
<1%
92-93°F
$425 Объем
<1%
94°F или выше
$475 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$14,773Дата окончания
20 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$14,773Дата окончания
20 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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