Hong Kong's subtropical climate in mid-June typically features daytime maxima around 30–31°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, with the official Hong Kong Observatory seasonal outlook indicating above-normal temperatures for the period driven by long-term warming trends. Short-range model consensus for June 19 points to a narrow range near 30–32°C, where differences hinge on variables such as cloud cover, timing of showers, urban heat-island effects, and sea-breeze moderation that can suppress or elevate the daily peak by 1–2°C. Trader positioning favoring 31°C over 30°C or 32°C reflects this forecast uncertainty, as even modest shifts in convective activity or insolation can alter the observed maximum recorded at the reference station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?
31°C 37%
30°C 29%
32°C 18%
29°C 16%
$13,848 Объем
$13,848 Объем
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
16%
30°C
29%
31°C
37%
32°C
18%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
30°C 29%
32°C 18%
29°C 16%
$13,848 Объем
$13,848 Объем
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
16%
30°C
29%
31°C
37%
32°C
18%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jun 17, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's subtropical climate in mid-June typically features daytime maxima around 30–31°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, with the official Hong Kong Observatory seasonal outlook indicating above-normal temperatures for the period driven by long-term warming trends. Short-range model consensus for June 19 points to a narrow range near 30–32°C, where differences hinge on variables such as cloud cover, timing of showers, urban heat-island effects, and sea-breeze moderation that can suppress or elevate the daily peak by 1–2°C. Trader positioning favoring 31°C over 30°C or 32°C reflects this forecast uncertainty, as even modest shifts in convective activity or insolation can alter the observed maximum recorded at the reference station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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