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icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?

31°C 37%

30°C 29%

32°C 18%

29°C 16%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$13,848 Объем

31°C 37%

30°C 29%

32°C 18%

29°C 16%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$13,848 Объем

25°C or below

$485 Объем

<1%

26°C

$185 Объем

<1%

27°C

$922 Объем

1%

28°C

$966 Объем

3%

29°C

$1,411 Объем

16%

30°C

$3,525 Объем

29%

31°C

$2,677 Объем

37%

32°C

$1,278 Объем

18%

33°C

$1,013 Объем

3%

34°C

$503 Объем

<1%

35°C or higher

$882 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's subtropical climate in mid-June typically features daytime maxima around 30–31°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, with the official Hong Kong Observatory seasonal outlook indicating above-normal temperatures for the period driven by long-term warming trends. Short-range model consensus for June 19 points to a narrow range near 30–32°C, where differences hinge on variables such as cloud cover, timing of showers, urban heat-island effects, and sea-breeze moderation that can suppress or elevate the daily peak by 1–2°C. Trader positioning favoring 31°C over 30°C or 32°C reflects this forecast uncertainty, as even modest shifts in convective activity or insolation can alter the observed maximum recorded at the reference station.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$13,848
Дата окончания
19 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's subtropical climate in mid-June typically features daytime maxima around 30–31°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, with the official Hong Kong Observatory seasonal outlook indicating above-normal temperatures for the period driven by long-term warming trends. Short-range model consensus for June 19 points to a narrow range near 30–32°C, where differences hinge on variables such as cloud cover, timing of showers, urban heat-island effects, and sea-breeze moderation that can suppress or elevate the daily peak by 1–2°C. Trader positioning favoring 31°C over 30°C or 32°C reflects this forecast uncertainty, as even modest shifts in convective activity or insolation can alter the observed maximum recorded at the reference station.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$13,848
Дата окончания
19 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31°C» с 37%, за ним следует «30°C» с 29%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 37¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 37%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $13.8K с момента запуска рынка Jun 17, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?» — «31°C» с 37%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 37%. Следующий ближайший исход — «30°C» с 29%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 19?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.