Recent forecasts from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia point to a daily maximum near 19°C on June 17, tempered by increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters around 17–18°C because model runs show modest variability in the arrival of a weak frontal boundary, which could enhance mixing with cooler northerly flow or increase low-level stratus. Key differentiators among the leading bins include exact timing of any precipitation (reducing solar insolation and thus peak temperature by 1–2°C) and boundary-layer wind direction, which controls warm-air advection from the south. With only 48 hours until resolution, small shifts in the latest ECMWF or GFS runs could readily move implied probabilities between the 16°C and 19°C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on June 17?
18°C 30%
17°C 24%
19°C 20%
16°C 17%
13°C or below
3%
14°C
4%
15°C
8%
16°C
17%
17°C
24%
18°C
30%
19°C
20%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
2%
18°C 30%
17°C 24%
19°C 20%
16°C 17%
13°C or below
3%
14°C
4%
15°C
8%
16°C
17%
17°C
24%
18°C
30%
19°C
20%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 15, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia point to a daily maximum near 19°C on June 17, tempered by increasing cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Trader consensus clusters around 17–18°C because model runs show modest variability in the arrival of a weak frontal boundary, which could enhance mixing with cooler northerly flow or increase low-level stratus. Key differentiators among the leading bins include exact timing of any precipitation (reducing solar insolation and thus peak temperature by 1–2°C) and boundary-layer wind direction, which controls warm-air advection from the south. With only 48 hours until resolution, small shifts in the latest ECMWF or GFS runs could readily move implied probabilities between the 16°C and 19°C outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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