Current JMA forecasts for Tokyo indicate a mostly cloudy June 17 with a minimum near 19°C, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 19–20°C outcomes amid the ongoing tsuyu rainy season. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while moderate sea breezes and regional moisture suppress temperature drops below seasonal baselines near 18–19°C. Recent model consensus favors overnight lows in this narrow range, though variations in cloud thickness, wind speed, or any late frontal activity could shift the exact reading by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical mid-June patterns, where such conditions typically produce minima clustered tightly between 17–21°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Токио 17 июня?
20°C 37%
19°C 25%
22°C 18%
23°C 18%
15°C или ниже
3%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
9%
19°C
25%
20°C
37%
21°C
9%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
1%
25°C или выше
<1%
20°C 37%
19°C 25%
22°C 18%
23°C 18%
15°C или ниже
3%
16°C
3%
17°C
5%
18°C
9%
19°C
25%
20°C
37%
21°C
9%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
1%
25°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current JMA forecasts for Tokyo indicate a mostly cloudy June 17 with a minimum near 19°C, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 19–20°C outcomes amid the ongoing tsuyu rainy season. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while moderate sea breezes and regional moisture suppress temperature drops below seasonal baselines near 18–19°C. Recent model consensus favors overnight lows in this narrow range, though variations in cloud thickness, wind speed, or any late frontal activity could shift the exact reading by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical mid-June patterns, where such conditions typically produce minima clustered tightly between 17–21°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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