Forecast consensus from regional and global models places Beijing's June 15 maximum near 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow typical of early summer. Small differences among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and extent of afternoon cloud cover, which modulates incoming solar radiation, and on boundary-layer mixing depth that influences how much heat reaches the surface. Urban heat-island effects in the city center can add 1–2 °C relative to suburban stations used for official readings. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, yet minor shifts in CMA or ECMWF runs on June 14 evening can still nudge the implied probability between the tightly bunched leading outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on June 15?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 15?
29°C 34%
30°C 27%
28°C 20%
31°C 11%
НОВОЕ
$29,024 Объем
НОВОЕ
$29,024 Объем
15 июн. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
20%
29°C
34%
30°C
27%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 27%
28°C 20%
31°C 11%
НОВОЕ
$29,024 Объем
НОВОЕ
$29,024 Объем
15 июн. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$2,601 Объем
<1%
26°C
$1,161 Объем
1%
27°C
$1,295 Объем
8%
28°C
$846 Объем
20%
29°C
$924 Объем
34%
30°C
$1,091 Объем
27%
31°C
$3,949 Объем
11%
32°C
$4,691 Объем
2%
33°C
$4,347 Объем
1%
34°C
$3,525 Объем
<1%
35°C or higher
$4,769 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional and global models places Beijing's June 15 maximum near 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow typical of early summer. Small differences among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and extent of afternoon cloud cover, which modulates incoming solar radiation, and on boundary-layer mixing depth that influences how much heat reaches the surface. Urban heat-island effects in the city center can add 1–2 °C relative to suburban stations used for official readings. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, yet minor shifts in CMA or ECMWF runs on June 14 evening can still nudge the implied probability between the tightly bunched leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Объем
$29,024Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional and global models places Beijing's June 15 maximum near 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow typical of early summer. Small differences among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and extent of afternoon cloud cover, which modulates incoming solar radiation, and on boundary-layer mixing depth that influences how much heat reaches the surface. Urban heat-island effects in the city center can add 1–2 °C relative to suburban stations used for official readings. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, yet minor shifts in CMA or ECMWF runs on June 14 evening can still nudge the implied probability between the tightly bunched leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$29,024Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from regional and global models places Beijing's June 15 maximum near 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow typical of early summer. Small differences among 28 °C, 29 °C, and 30 °C outcomes hinge on the precise timing and extent of afternoon cloud cover, which modulates incoming solar radiation, and on boundary-layer mixing depth that influences how much heat reaches the surface. Urban heat-island effects in the city center can add 1–2 °C relative to suburban stations used for official readings. Model spread remains modest this close to the event, yet minor shifts in CMA or ECMWF runs on June 14 evening can still nudge the implied probability between the tightly bunched leading outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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