Latest European model ensembles, including ECMWF runs, show a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and above-normal 850 hPa temperatures over Paris, driving market-implied odds toward 29–30°C as the most probable peak on June 16. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover, and surface wind speeds create the narrow spread between these outcomes, while historical June averages near 24°C underscore the current warmth anomaly. New model updates and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Paris on June 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?
30°C 36%
29°C 32%
28°C 15%
31°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июн. 2026 г.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
32%
30°C
36%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 36%
29°C 32%
28°C 15%
31°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июн. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$17 Объем
1%
26°C
$23 Объем
2%
27°C
$258 Объем
4%
28°C
$95 Объем
15%
29°C
$283 Объем
32%
30°C
$150 Объем
36%
31°C
$379 Объем
13%
32°C
$102 Объем
4%
33°C
$271 Объем
1%
34°C
$64 Объем
1%
35°C or higher
$57 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European model ensembles, including ECMWF runs, show a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and above-normal 850 hPa temperatures over Paris, driving market-implied odds toward 29–30°C as the most probable peak on June 16. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover, and surface wind speeds create the narrow spread between these outcomes, while historical June averages near 24°C underscore the current warmth anomaly. New model updates and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Объем
$1,431Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest European model ensembles, including ECMWF runs, show a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and above-normal 850 hPa temperatures over Paris, driving market-implied odds toward 29–30°C as the most probable peak on June 16. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover, and surface wind speeds create the narrow spread between these outcomes, while historical June averages near 24°C underscore the current warmth anomaly. New model updates and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,431Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest European model ensembles, including ECMWF runs, show a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and above-normal 850 hPa temperatures over Paris, driving market-implied odds toward 29–30°C as the most probable peak on June 16. Subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover, and surface wind speeds create the narrow spread between these outcomes, while historical June averages near 24°C underscore the current warmth anomaly. New model updates and Météo-France guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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