Official forecasts from meteorological services place Chongqing’s daytime high on June 14 at 31 °C, aligning with climatological norms for mid-June in the region and producing the market’s near-certain 99.9 % implied probability for that exact threshold. Recent model runs show minimal temperature spread, with surface observations and satellite data confirming stable high-pressure conditions that suppress convective cooling or anomalous warming. Traders therefore treat the outcome as effectively resolved barring an unforeseen late-day surge above 32 °C or a rapid drop below 31 °C from unpredicted rainfall—both low-probability deviations given the current atmospheric setup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чунцине 14 июня?
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
26°C или ниже <1%
27°C <1%
$43,963 Объем
$43,963 Объем
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C или выше
<1%
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
26°C или ниже <1%
27°C <1%
$43,963 Объем
$43,963 Объем
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from meteorological services place Chongqing’s daytime high on June 14 at 31 °C, aligning with climatological norms for mid-June in the region and producing the market’s near-certain 99.9 % implied probability for that exact threshold. Recent model runs show minimal temperature spread, with surface observations and satellite data confirming stable high-pressure conditions that suppress convective cooling or anomalous warming. Traders therefore treat the outcome as effectively resolved barring an unforeseen late-day surge above 32 °C or a rapid drop below 31 °C from unpredicted rainfall—both low-probability deviations given the current atmospheric setup.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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