Trader consensus clusters tightly around 18–19°C for Cape Town’s June 16 maximum, reflecting short-range model agreement on typical mid-winter conditions with modest warming from a weak ridge. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show daytime highs near the 17–18°C seasonal norm, tempered by onshore flow and possible light showers that limit further rise. Slight upside risk to 20°C hinges on clearer skies and reduced marine influence, while cooler outcomes would require a stronger cold front. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate this close to the date, with new model cycles and SAWS updates likely to sharpen the distribution before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 16?
19°C 35%
18°C 32%
20°C 20%
17°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июн. 2026 г.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
32%
19°C
35%
20°C
20%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 35%
18°C 32%
20°C 20%
17°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июн. 2026 г.
14°C or below
$27 Объем
1%
15°C
$18 Объем
1%
16°C
$45 Объем
1%
17°C
$38 Объем
8%
18°C
$146 Объем
32%
19°C
$9 Объем
35%
20°C
$35 Объем
20%
21°C
$21 Объем
2%
22°C
$30 Объем
2%
23°C
$52 Объем
1%
24°C or higher
$51 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 18–19°C for Cape Town’s June 16 maximum, reflecting short-range model agreement on typical mid-winter conditions with modest warming from a weak ridge. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show daytime highs near the 17–18°C seasonal norm, tempered by onshore flow and possible light showers that limit further rise. Slight upside risk to 20°C hinges on clearer skies and reduced marine influence, while cooler outcomes would require a stronger cold front. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate this close to the date, with new model cycles and SAWS updates likely to sharpen the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ET
Объем
$457Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 18–19°C for Cape Town’s June 16 maximum, reflecting short-range model agreement on typical mid-winter conditions with modest warming from a weak ridge. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show daytime highs near the 17–18°C seasonal norm, tempered by onshore flow and possible light showers that limit further rise. Slight upside risk to 20°C hinges on clearer skies and reduced marine influence, while cooler outcomes would require a stronger cold front. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate this close to the date, with new model cycles and SAWS updates likely to sharpen the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$457Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 14, 2026, 1:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 18–19°C for Cape Town’s June 16 maximum, reflecting short-range model agreement on typical mid-winter conditions with modest warming from a weak ridge. South African Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show daytime highs near the 17–18°C seasonal norm, tempered by onshore flow and possible light showers that limit further rise. Slight upside risk to 20°C hinges on clearer skies and reduced marine influence, while cooler outcomes would require a stronger cold front. Forecast uncertainty remains moderate this close to the date, with new model cycles and SAWS updates likely to sharpen the distribution before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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