Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the India Meteorological Department position 37–39°C as the most probable range for Lucknow’s June 16 maximum, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 38°C (36.5%) and 39°C (26.5%). Mid-June climatology shows highs typically near 38–40°C before monsoon moisture increases cloud cover and humidity, moderating peaks. Current model consensus indicates no intense heatwave or clear-sky amplification, with light winds and possible thundery development limiting further warming. Recent observed maxima around 37–39°C support this stability, though minor forecast shifts from updated runs could adjust probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 16?
38°C 37%
39°C 20%
37°C 15%
36°C 8.9%
35°C or below
1%
36°C
9%
37°C
15%
38°C
37%
39°C
22%
40°C
7%
41°C
3%
42°C
3%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 37%
39°C 20%
37°C 15%
36°C 8.9%
35°C or below
1%
36°C
9%
37°C
15%
38°C
37%
39°C
22%
40°C
7%
41°C
3%
42°C
3%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 14, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like the India Meteorological Department position 37–39°C as the most probable range for Lucknow’s June 16 maximum, aligning with market-implied odds favoring 38°C (36.5%) and 39°C (26.5%). Mid-June climatology shows highs typically near 38–40°C before monsoon moisture increases cloud cover and humidity, moderating peaks. Current model consensus indicates no intense heatwave or clear-sky amplification, with light winds and possible thundery development limiting further warming. Recent observed maxima around 37–39°C support this stability, though minor forecast shifts from updated runs could adjust probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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