Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a tight range of possible daily maxima near 29–31°C on June 16, driven by the East Asian monsoon’s influence on cloud cover, humidity near 75–85 percent, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that frequently limit solar heating. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather shows model consensus favoring partly cloudy conditions with light showers, which historically caps peaks 1–3°C below clear-sky potential. Traders weigh these variables against the city’s climatological June average high of 31°C and the narrow uncertainty window remaining before resolution, producing closely matched implied probabilities for the 29°C and 30°C bins. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 16?
30°C 30%
29°C 27%
31°C 18%
28°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июн. 2026 г.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
11%
29°C
27%
30°C
30%
31°C
18%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 30%
29°C 27%
31°C 18%
28°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июн. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$306 Объем
<1%
24°C
$50 Объем
<1%
25°C
$17 Объем
<1%
26°C
$152 Объем
2%
27°C
$96 Объем
6%
28°C
$3 Объем
11%
29°C
$18 Объем
27%
30°C
$23 Объем
30%
31°C
$16 Объем
18%
32°C
$1 Объем
4%
33°C or higher
$111 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a tight range of possible daily maxima near 29–31°C on June 16, driven by the East Asian monsoon’s influence on cloud cover, humidity near 75–85 percent, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that frequently limit solar heating. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather shows model consensus favoring partly cloudy conditions with light showers, which historically caps peaks 1–3°C below clear-sky potential. Traders weigh these variables against the city’s climatological June average high of 31°C and the narrow uncertainty window remaining before resolution, producing closely matched implied probabilities for the 29°C and 30°C bins. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Объем
$793Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a tight range of possible daily maxima near 29–31°C on June 16, driven by the East Asian monsoon’s influence on cloud cover, humidity near 75–85 percent, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that frequently limit solar heating. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather shows model consensus favoring partly cloudy conditions with light showers, which historically caps peaks 1–3°C below clear-sky potential. Traders weigh these variables against the city’s climatological June average high of 31°C and the narrow uncertainty window remaining before resolution, producing closely matched implied probabilities for the 29°C and 30°C bins. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$793Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a tight range of possible daily maxima near 29–31°C on June 16, driven by the East Asian monsoon’s influence on cloud cover, humidity near 75–85 percent, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that frequently limit solar heating. Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and AccuWeather shows model consensus favoring partly cloudy conditions with light showers, which historically caps peaks 1–3°C below clear-sky potential. Traders weigh these variables against the city’s climatological June average high of 31°C and the narrow uncertainty window remaining before resolution, producing closely matched implied probabilities for the 29°C and 30°C bins. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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