The market's overwhelming consensus on a 26°C high for Tokyo on June 14 reflects the latest observational data and numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency, which show stable early-summer conditions under typical tsuyu (rainy season) influences with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited solar heating from partial cloud cover. This aligns with historical climatology for mid-June, when Tokyo's average daily maximum hovers near 26°C amid the seasonal transition. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain narrow and would require rapid, unforecast shifts such as unexpected clearing that boosts insolation or stronger-than-expected onshore flow altering the thermal profile before the daily peak is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$86,192 Объем
$86,192 Объем
14 июн. 2026 г.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$86,192 Объем
$86,192 Объем
14 июн. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$431 Объем
<1%
22°C
$421 Объем
<1%
23°C
$4,694 Объем
<1%
24°C
$6,413 Объем
<1%
25°C
$11,611 Объем
<1%
26°C
$21,298 Объем
100%
27°C
$9,900 Объем
<1%
28°C
$12,001 Объем
<1%
29°C
$6,979 Объем
<1%
30°C
$9,291 Объем
<1%
31°C or higher
$3,271 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming consensus on a 26°C high for Tokyo on June 14 reflects the latest observational data and numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency, which show stable early-summer conditions under typical tsuyu (rainy season) influences with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited solar heating from partial cloud cover. This aligns with historical climatology for mid-June, when Tokyo's average daily maximum hovers near 26°C amid the seasonal transition. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain narrow and would require rapid, unforecast shifts such as unexpected clearing that boosts insolation or stronger-than-expected onshore flow altering the thermal profile before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$86,192Дата окончания
14 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming consensus on a 26°C high for Tokyo on June 14 reflects the latest observational data and numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency, which show stable early-summer conditions under typical tsuyu (rainy season) influences with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited solar heating from partial cloud cover. This aligns with historical climatology for mid-June, when Tokyo's average daily maximum hovers near 26°C amid the seasonal transition. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain narrow and would require rapid, unforecast shifts such as unexpected clearing that boosts insolation or stronger-than-expected onshore flow altering the thermal profile before the daily peak is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$86,192Дата окончания
14 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming consensus on a 26°C high for Tokyo on June 14 reflects the latest observational data and numerical weather prediction models from the Japan Meteorological Agency, which show stable early-summer conditions under typical tsuyu (rainy season) influences with moderate humidity, light winds, and limited solar heating from partial cloud cover. This aligns with historical climatology for mid-June, when Tokyo's average daily maximum hovers near 26°C amid the seasonal transition. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain narrow and would require rapid, unforecast shifts such as unexpected clearing that boosts insolation or stronger-than-expected onshore flow altering the thermal profile before the daily peak is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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