Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local outlooks indicate minimum temperatures near 25–26°C for Hong Kong on June 16, 2026, amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions with showers and high humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 26°C outcome, supported by the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal assessment of above-normal temperatures for June–August driven by long-term climate trends and emerging El Niño influences in the Pacific. Short-term model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover and light winds rather than major systems, keeping probabilities concentrated around historical June lows of 25–27°C while leaving room for slight revisions from updated runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 16 июня?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 16 июня?
26°C 38%
27°C 19%
25°C 15%
28°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июн. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
15%
26°C
38%
27°C
15%
28°C
12%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C или выше
<1%
26°C 38%
27°C 19%
25°C 15%
28°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июн. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$325 Объем
<1%
22°C
$15 Объем
1%
23°C
$22 Объем
1%
24°C
$16 Объем
4%
25°C
$16 Объем
15%
26°C
$21 Объем
38%
27°C
$7 Объем
15%
28°C
$0 Объем
12%
29°C
$22 Объем
1%
30°C
$22 Объем
1%
31°C или выше
$27 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local outlooks indicate minimum temperatures near 25–26°C for Hong Kong on June 16, 2026, amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions with showers and high humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 26°C outcome, supported by the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal assessment of above-normal temperatures for June–August driven by long-term climate trends and emerging El Niño influences in the Pacific. Short-term model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover and light winds rather than major systems, keeping probabilities concentrated around historical June lows of 25–27°C while leaving room for slight revisions from updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$493Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local outlooks indicate minimum temperatures near 25–26°C for Hong Kong on June 16, 2026, amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions with showers and high humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 26°C outcome, supported by the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal assessment of above-normal temperatures for June–August driven by long-term climate trends and emerging El Niño influences in the Pacific. Short-term model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover and light winds rather than major systems, keeping probabilities concentrated around historical June lows of 25–27°C while leaving room for slight revisions from updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$493Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local outlooks indicate minimum temperatures near 25–26°C for Hong Kong on June 16, 2026, amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions with showers and high humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 26°C outcome, supported by the Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal assessment of above-normal temperatures for June–August driven by long-term climate trends and emerging El Niño influences in the Pacific. Short-term model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability from cloud cover and light winds rather than major systems, keeping probabilities concentrated around historical June lows of 25–27°C while leaving room for slight revisions from updated runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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