Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus forecast a June 15 minimum near 26°C within a 26–29°C daily range under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and an easterly to southerly airstream. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (80–95%) limit overnight radiative cooling, anchoring lows close to the June climatological average of 26–27°C rather than allowing sharper drops. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 47% implied probability, with 25°C and 27°C as the next most likely outcomes given typical forecast uncertainty ranges. No major model shifts or atypical airstream changes have emerged in recent updates to alter the core outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 15 июня?
26°C 35%
25°C 27%
27°C 24%
28°C 6.4%
22°C или ниже
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
27%
26°C
35%
27°C
24%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
26°C 35%
25°C 27%
27°C 24%
28°C 6.4%
22°C или ниже
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
27%
26°C
35%
27°C
24%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus forecast a June 15 minimum near 26°C within a 26–29°C daily range under mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and an easterly to southerly airstream. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (80–95%) limit overnight radiative cooling, anchoring lows close to the June climatological average of 26–27°C rather than allowing sharper drops. This positions 26°C as the market leader at 47% implied probability, with 25°C and 27°C as the next most likely outcomes given typical forecast uncertainty ranges. No major model shifts or atypical airstream changes have emerged in recent updates to alter the core outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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