Recent forecasts for Moscow on June 14, 2026, from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daytime maximum near 20°C, driven by a mild early-summer pattern featuring variable cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Typical June climatology places Moscow highs around 21–22°C, but current conditions—with overcast periods and precipitation chances—favor slight suppression of peak temperatures. Model consensus (including GFS and ECMWF runs) supports a narrow range centered on 19–21°C, creating tight market-implied odds around those bins as traders weigh minor differences in forecast timing, observation stations, and potential for brief afternoon clearing. No strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection is evident to push values above 22°C, while overnight lows near 12–13°C further anchor the daily peak. Updated model guidance later today could refine probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on June 14?
20°C 37%
19°C 26%
21°C 19%
18°C 8.8%
$34,605 Объем
$34,605 Объем
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
9%
19°C
26%
20°C
37%
21°C
19%
22°C
8%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
20°C 37%
19°C 26%
21°C 19%
18°C 8.8%
$34,605 Объем
$34,605 Объем
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
9%
19°C
26%
20°C
37%
21°C
19%
22°C
8%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow on June 14, 2026, from multiple meteorological sources converge on a daytime maximum near 20°C, driven by a mild early-summer pattern featuring variable cloud cover, light northeasterly flow, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Typical June climatology places Moscow highs around 21–22°C, but current conditions—with overcast periods and precipitation chances—favor slight suppression of peak temperatures. Model consensus (including GFS and ECMWF runs) supports a narrow range centered on 19–21°C, creating tight market-implied odds around those bins as traders weigh minor differences in forecast timing, observation stations, and potential for brief afternoon clearing. No strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection is evident to push values above 22°C, while overnight lows near 12–13°C further anchor the daily peak. Updated model guidance later today could refine probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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