Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for Houston on June 15 because short-range model guidance and recent observations point to increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating below the 91–92°F June climatological normal. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of convective development, which depends on boundary-layer moisture, weak steering flow, and any subtle mid-level cooling; stronger or earlier storms favor the 84–85°F bin while delayed or weaker activity allows readings to reach the 86–87°F range. Official National Weather Service normals list a 92°F average maximum for mid-June, yet current ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 88°F and negligible downside below 82°F given the subtropical airmass in place. Updated model runs and afternoon National Weather Service briefings remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Хьюстоне 15 июня?
Самая высокая температура в Хьюстоне 15 июня?
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 29%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июн. 2026 г.
75°F или ниже
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
2%
94°F или выше
1%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 29%
88-89°F 16%
82-83°F 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июн. 2026 г.
75°F или ниже
$29 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$17 Объем
<1%
78-79°F
$714 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$272 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$382 Объем
9%
84-85°F
$185 Объем
29%
86-87°F
$577 Объем
32%
88-89°F
$751 Объем
16%
90-91°F
$1,088 Объем
5%
92-93°F
$2,240 Объем
2%
94°F или выше
$1,015 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for Houston on June 15 because short-range model guidance and recent observations point to increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating below the 91–92°F June climatological normal. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of convective development, which depends on boundary-layer moisture, weak steering flow, and any subtle mid-level cooling; stronger or earlier storms favor the 84–85°F bin while delayed or weaker activity allows readings to reach the 86–87°F range. Official National Weather Service normals list a 92°F average maximum for mid-June, yet current ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 88°F and negligible downside below 82°F given the subtropical airmass in place. Updated model runs and afternoon National Weather Service briefings remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Объем
$7,264Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for Houston on June 15 because short-range model guidance and recent observations point to increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating below the 91–92°F June climatological normal. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of convective development, which depends on boundary-layer moisture, weak steering flow, and any subtle mid-level cooling; stronger or earlier storms favor the 84–85°F bin while delayed or weaker activity allows readings to reach the 86–87°F range. Official National Weather Service normals list a 92°F average maximum for mid-June, yet current ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 88°F and negligible downside below 82°F given the subtropical airmass in place. Updated model runs and afternoon National Weather Service briefings remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,264Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 9:05 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for Houston on June 15 because short-range model guidance and recent observations point to increased cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that will limit daytime heating below the 91–92°F June climatological normal. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of convective development, which depends on boundary-layer moisture, weak steering flow, and any subtle mid-level cooling; stronger or earlier storms favor the 84–85°F bin while delayed or weaker activity allows readings to reach the 86–87°F range. Official National Weather Service normals list a 92°F average maximum for mid-June, yet current ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 88°F and negligible downside below 82°F given the subtropical airmass in place. Updated model runs and afternoon National Weather Service briefings remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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