Current forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com point to a Warsaw high near 16°C on June 14, 2026, under thundery showers, moderate westerly winds, and mostly cloudy skies that limit solar heating. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 16°C (44.5%) and 15°C (34.5%), reflecting model consensus on a cooler-than-average June air mass and limited diurnal temperature rise. Historical June highs in Warsaw average near 22°C, but recent synoptic patterns have suppressed readings, with precipitation further capping peaks. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, as updates from agencies like IMGW or ECMWF could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies or warmer advection develop before peak heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 14 июня?
16°C 45%
15°C 35%
17°C 14%
14°C 6.9%
$22,959 Объем
$22,959 Объем
10°C или ниже
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
7%
15°C
35%
16°C
45%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C или выше
<1%
16°C 45%
15°C 35%
17°C 14%
14°C 6.9%
$22,959 Объем
$22,959 Объем
10°C или ниже
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
7%
15°C
35%
16°C
45%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com point to a Warsaw high near 16°C on June 14, 2026, under thundery showers, moderate westerly winds, and mostly cloudy skies that limit solar heating. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 16°C (44.5%) and 15°C (34.5%), reflecting model consensus on a cooler-than-average June air mass and limited diurnal temperature rise. Historical June highs in Warsaw average near 22°C, but recent synoptic patterns have suppressed readings, with precipitation further capping peaks. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, as updates from agencies like IMGW or ECMWF could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies or warmer advection develop before peak heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы