Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high around 73°F in Chicago on June 15, driven by west-northwest flow behind a departing system that advects cooler, drier air across the southern Great Lakes while limiting daytime heating through increased cloud cover and modest winds. This setup aligns with the market’s concentration on 74–77°F outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble consistency from GFS and ECMWF runs against the seasonal normal of roughly 80°F. Recent upstream observations confirm the transition, with no strong warm advection or subsidence expected to push readings into the upper 70s. Updated short-range guidance and any overnight model shifts on June 14 will be the key catalysts for further adjustments in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 15?
76-77°F 39%
74-75°F 27%
78-79°F 16%
72-73°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июн. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 39%
74-75°F 27%
78-79°F 16%
72-73°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июн. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
$223 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$269 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$140 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$831 Объем
2%
72-73°F
$766 Объем
11%
74-75°F
$605 Объем
27%
76-77°F
$341 Объем
39%
78-79°F
$362 Объем
16%
80-81°F
$256 Объем
4%
82-83°F
$629 Объем
1%
84°F or higher
$775 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high around 73°F in Chicago on June 15, driven by west-northwest flow behind a departing system that advects cooler, drier air across the southern Great Lakes while limiting daytime heating through increased cloud cover and modest winds. This setup aligns with the market’s concentration on 74–77°F outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble consistency from GFS and ECMWF runs against the seasonal normal of roughly 80°F. Recent upstream observations confirm the transition, with no strong warm advection or subsidence expected to push readings into the upper 70s. Updated short-range guidance and any overnight model shifts on June 14 will be the key catalysts for further adjustments in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$5,123Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high around 73°F in Chicago on June 15, driven by west-northwest flow behind a departing system that advects cooler, drier air across the southern Great Lakes while limiting daytime heating through increased cloud cover and modest winds. This setup aligns with the market’s concentration on 74–77°F outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble consistency from GFS and ECMWF runs against the seasonal normal of roughly 80°F. Recent upstream observations confirm the transition, with no strong warm advection or subsidence expected to push readings into the upper 70s. Updated short-range guidance and any overnight model shifts on June 14 will be the key catalysts for further adjustments in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,123Дата окончания
15 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance point to a high around 73°F in Chicago on June 15, driven by west-northwest flow behind a departing system that advects cooler, drier air across the southern Great Lakes while limiting daytime heating through increased cloud cover and modest winds. This setup aligns with the market’s concentration on 74–77°F outcomes, as traders weigh ensemble consistency from GFS and ECMWF runs against the seasonal normal of roughly 80°F. Recent upstream observations confirm the transition, with no strong warm advection or subsidence expected to push readings into the upper 70s. Updated short-range guidance and any overnight model shifts on June 14 will be the key catalysts for further adjustments in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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