Recent high-pressure systems and a broadening warm-dry pattern across western Europe have elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris, with ensemble models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicating limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. These conditions differentiate the closely matched 19°C and 20°C outcomes by modulating boundary-layer mixing and humidity levels that control how much heat is retained near the surface overnight. Traders weigh the latest model runs showing potential for slight variations in cloud cover or weak frontal passages that could nudge the daily low by 1–2°C, while historical June climatology (typical minima near 13–14°C) underscores the anomalous warmth currently priced into the market. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 16 июня?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 16 июня?
19°C 30%
18°C 27%
20°C 23%
17°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июн. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
5%
17°C
11%
18°C
27%
19°C
30%
20°C
23%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
19°C 30%
18°C 27%
20°C 23%
17°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 июн. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$79 Объем
5%
17°C
$33 Объем
11%
18°C
$113 Объем
27%
19°C
$30 Объем
30%
20°C
$25 Объем
23%
21°C
$54 Объем
4%
22°C
$51 Объем
1%
23°C
$85 Объем
<1%
24°C
$174 Объем
1%
25°C
$37 Объем
<1%
26°C или выше
$408 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure systems and a broadening warm-dry pattern across western Europe have elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris, with ensemble models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicating limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. These conditions differentiate the closely matched 19°C and 20°C outcomes by modulating boundary-layer mixing and humidity levels that control how much heat is retained near the surface overnight. Traders weigh the latest model runs showing potential for slight variations in cloud cover or weak frontal passages that could nudge the daily low by 1–2°C, while historical June climatology (typical minima near 13–14°C) underscores the anomalous warmth currently priced into the market. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$1,080Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure systems and a broadening warm-dry pattern across western Europe have elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris, with ensemble models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicating limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. These conditions differentiate the closely matched 19°C and 20°C outcomes by modulating boundary-layer mixing and humidity levels that control how much heat is retained near the surface overnight. Traders weigh the latest model runs showing potential for slight variations in cloud cover or weak frontal passages that could nudge the daily low by 1–2°C, while historical June climatology (typical minima near 13–14°C) underscores the anomalous warmth currently priced into the market. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,080Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure systems and a broadening warm-dry pattern across western Europe have elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris, with ensemble models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicating limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light winds. These conditions differentiate the closely matched 19°C and 20°C outcomes by modulating boundary-layer mixing and humidity levels that control how much heat is retained near the surface overnight. Traders weigh the latest model runs showing potential for slight variations in cloud cover or weak frontal passages that could nudge the daily low by 1–2°C, while historical June climatology (typical minima near 13–14°C) underscores the anomalous warmth currently priced into the market. Updated short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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